Our NFL betting professional brings you his finest Steelers vs. Payments predictions and picks for his or herNFL Week 5 matchup, which is dwell Sunday at 1 p.m. EST on CBS.
The Kenny Pickett period is underway in Pittsburgh, because the Steelers have named the first-round choose their starter forward of this week’s matchup towards the AFC stalwart Buffalo Payments.
Steelers vs. Payments predictions
- Payments to cowl unfold (-14) @ -110 at Caesars Sportsbook
- Over 46.5 factors @ -110 at Caesars Sportsbook
- Najee Harris to attain a landing @ +160 at Caesars Sportsbook
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Steelers vs. Payments picks and evaluation
Steelers followers received their want within the second half of final week’s dwelling recreation towards the New York Jets. After an ineffective first half, Mitch Trubisky was benched in favor of the rookie Pickett, whose stat line by the tip of the sport actually was distinctive. He accomplished 10 of 13 passes, however the three outliers had been all interceptions. He additionally ran for 2 touchdowns to place Pittsburgh in entrance earlier than the Jets rallied for a 24-20 victory.
The Payments discovered themselves down 20-3 to the Baltimore Ravens late within the first half earlier than they began a rally of their very own. Josh Allen led 4 scoring drives, together with scoring on an 11-yard run, and the Buffalo protection firmed up. The Ravens spurned a brief discipline objective try late within the fourth quarter that may have put them forward; as an alternative, the Payments picked off Lamar Jackson ultimately zone earlier than embarking on the game-winning drive. Buffalo has now gained seven of its final eight regular-season video games.
Payments to cowl -14
This recreation has, far and away, the biggest unfold of Week 5. Vegas sees this as such a mismatch that it set a two-touchdown unfold to entice bettors to think about placing cash down on both facet.
There’s good cause for that lopsidedness. Buffalo’s solely loss got here by two factors in a divisional street recreation towards the Miami Dolphins. The Payments have carried out as much as preseason expectations as probably the most well-rounded crew within the NFL. They’ve already gained video games by each blowing opponents out and coming from behind.
Pittsburgh is little question in a rebuilding yr — No. 1 large receiver Diontae Johnson stated so. “We will’t use that as an excuse,” Johnson added. “It doesn’t matter who's at quarterback or any place.”
But it surely does not less than partially matter who’s beginning at quarterback and going ahead, that can be Pickett. He could have a brilliant future forward of him, however in Week 5, the Payments’ protection can be ready to offer him his “Hey rookie, welcome to the NFL” second. They’re tied for first within the NFL in complete protection (234.5 yards per recreation allowed) and rank fifth with 13 sacks.
Don’t let the fearsome 14-point unfold trouble you. The Payments beat the defending Tremendous Bowl champions by 21. And, not for nothing, they’re lastly again in Buffalo after enjoying three of their first 4 video games on the street. We’ll take the Payments and the factors.
Choose: Payments to cowl unfold (-14) @ -110 with Caesars Sportsbook.
Over 46.5 complete factors scored
The below hit in every of Buffalo’s final two video games, however there’s cause to examine that extra intently.
Final week’s 23-20 win over Baltimore (O/U 50) was performed in regular rain, the place it’s tougher to get an offense shifting early and groups are liable to lose extra turnovers. In a 21-19 loss to Miami the week earlier than (O/U 54.5), the over/below was ridiculously inflated following Miami’s huge 42-38 win over the Ravens the week earlier than.
After just a few modest weeks from the Payments’ offense, search for it to rebound in a significant approach.
Pittsburgh star move rusher T.J. Watt is out for not less than yet one more week with a torn pectoral muscle. The Steelers’ protection has carried out admirably so far with out him. However after sacking Joe Burrow seven occasions of their season-opening win over Cincinnati, the Steelers have misplaced to quarterbacks Mac Jones, Jacoby Brissett, and Zach Wilson.
None of these guys are Josh Allen, who’s stating an early case for MVP. A few of his receivers could also be harm, however Stefon Diggs is just not.
Our Choose: Over 46.5 factors scored @ -110 with Caesars Sportsbook
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Najee Harris to attain a landing +160
Pickett can sling the ball downfield, definitely, however when rookie NFL quarterbacks begin to get their ft moist, tight ends and working backs grow to be terrific security blankets to examine all the way down to.
The Payments have smothered opposing beginning working backs, who common lower than 35 yards per recreation on the bottom, however let’s give attention to beginning working again Najee Harris in a receiving position.
Few groups within the NFL depend on their No. 1 again greater than the Steelers do Harris. He’s had 58 speeding makes an attempt this season, whereas backup working again Jaylen Warren has taken simply 14 handoffs. Harris’ 50.5 yards per recreation isn’t elite, however he picks up first downs at a robust charge.
Focused 11 occasions within the passing recreation, Harris has 10 receptions, and Pickett is prone to flip to him if the move rush warms the pocket. He’s discovered the tip zone on one speeding landing and one receiving rating. We like Harris to become involved early and sometimes within the Steelers’ gameplan as they deal with the Buffalo protection — which, regardless of its many strengths, has given up 4 speeding TDs and one receiving rating to opposing working backs this yr.
Our Choose: Steelers RB Najee Harris to attain TD @ +160 with Caesars Sportsbook.
Steelers vs. Payments odds
Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Appropriate on the time of publishing and topic to alter.
| Staff | Unfold | Cash line | Complete Factors 46.5 |
| Steelers | (+14) -110 | +600 | Over -110 |
| Payments | (-14) -110 | -900 | Beneath -110 |
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