West Ham United vs. Fulham prediction: Cottagers’ price too nice

Generally a line jumps off the web page at you straight away, and that’s what is going on with the Premier League match between Fulham and West Ham United on Saturday. The Hammers are a -135 favourite at dwelling within the three-way market at BetMGM, whereas the Cottagers are a large underdog at +340.

On one hand, it is sensible that the market is excessive on West Ham and low on Fulham in the mean time. The Hammers are coming off a 2-0 victory in opposition to Wolverhampton, whereas Fulham acquired pasted, 4-1, by Newcastle at dwelling. Throw in that West Ham completed seventh final season and made it to the Europa League closing. In the meantime, Fulham is a newly promoted facet and one of many favorites to be relegated, so you can begin to see the logic behind the broad hole in these odds.

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Fulham's Aleksandar Mitrovic and Carlos Vinicius
Fulham’s Aleksandar Mitrovic and Carlos Vinicius
Reuters

However when you take a step again and take a look at how these two groups have performed this season, doorways begin to open for Fulham. The Cottagers could rank final in anticipated objectives allowed and massive probabilities conceded, however West Ham’s offense has been dreadful this season and ranks close to the underside in those self same classes.

The Hammers simply aren’t the kind of crew that may exploit Fulham’s defensive deficiencies. Matchups are necessary and this one says the Cottagers are a bit mispriced.

West Ham closed as even-money favorites at dwelling to Wolves final weekend and there’s not a 35-cent distinction between Wolverhampton and Fulham. Take the massive quantity on the Cottagers.

The play: Fulham +340

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