2022 NFL Week 10 predictions: Picks against the spread for every game

When the road opened at seven factors earlier this week for Sunday’s Giants-Texans recreation at MetLife Stadium, my first response was, “Yee-Haw!” I don’t know if “Mattress Mack” put down a few million on the Texans at that worth, however that was definitely my first impression.

In spite of everything, the Giants’ six victories this season have come by one, three, eight, 5, 4 and 6 factors. They trailed a lot of these video games late, a trait that’s often a hindrance to successful by any type of margin.

In the course of the course of the week, nonetheless, the quantity has taken a little bit of a nosedive and sits at a probably extra manageable Giants -5. Now there’s a choice to make.

At 1-6-1, the Texans are nominally the worst opponent the Giants may have confronted thus far. But, they've a powerful working recreation led by rookie Dameon Pierce, and their protection has traveled fairly effectively this season. Houston allowed a mean of 15 PPG in its first three street video games earlier than dropping 38-20 at Las Vegas. 

Not solely that, however the Giants misplaced presumably their greatest defensive participant, Xavier McKinney, for just a few video games after he suffered a hand damage whereas on trip through the bye week. So the blueprint definitely is there for an additional back-and-forth Giants recreation that by no means sees them within the lead by greater than a area aim.

Saquon Barkley of the New York Giants
Saquon Barkley of the New York Giants
Getty Photographs

Nonetheless, I’m going to stay with an angle that’s been working because the Giants have constructed an NFC-best 6-2 report towards the unfold. Brian Daboll and Wink Martindale each come from the AFC, and I imagine they supply the Giants an institutional edge towards groups from the opposite convention. Massive Blue is 3-0 towards the Titans, Ravens and Jaguars. Their whole margin of victory was 11 factors towards a composite unfold of +14, which provides as much as a 25-point over-performance versus the market.

I imagine Wink & Co. may have solutions for a one-trick pony Houston offense, and Saquon Barkley will discover working room towards the Texans protection that ranks final within the NFL by a large margin in stopping the run.

New York Giants vs. Houston Texans choose: Giants -5. 


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Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) over Seattle Seahawks (in Munich, Germany)

It took Tom Brady 55 minutes and 25 seconds to lastly generate a landing final week in a 16-13 win over the Rams within the NFL’s Anti-Marquis matchup of the 12 months. Now Brady has to tug his distracted, 45-year-old bones throughout the ocean to face a spry, overachieving Seattle squad. The Seahawks are taking a majority of the cash – so why has the road risen from Bucs -1.5 to -3? Hmm.

Minnesota Vikings (+3.5) over BUFFALO BILLS

The road has plummeted as all of us await definitive phrase on whether or not Josh Allen will be capable to play after injuring his proper elbow versus the Jets. I imagine if Allen does sit, even this smaller quantity would offer Closing Line Worth on Minnesota. And although everyone seems to be fixated on Allen, the Vikings have added a weapon in TE T.J. Hockenson who completely augments all the things else they do offensively, and they're going up towards a battered Payments protection.

Cleveland Browns (+3.5) over MIAMI DOLPHINS

Like Bucs-Seahawks, right here’s one other recreation that options reverse line motion. The Dolphins are taking 70 p.c of the cash at DraftKings and but the road has moved towards Cleveland. Hoping the Browns’ 80-yard edge in combination dashing offense and protection will come into play on an 82-degree day.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-9.5) over Jacksonville Jaguars

It’s fascinating that the 3-6 Jaguars are getting two fewer factors at Arrowhead than the Titans, then 5-2, acquired on Sunday night time. Although Okay.C. didn't cowl these double digits, it's a must to return simply two weeks to discover a large 44-23 street win over 49ers staff.

Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
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PITTSBURGH STEELERS (+1.5) over New Orleans Saints

Each groups have horrible information and lengthy damage lists, and the Wonderful Kreskin may most likely let you know higher than the staff docs which stars are going to take a seat or begin. The handicapping angle I’ll cling my hat on for this one is the Steelers are coming off a bye, whereas the Saints are touring off a Monday nighter. Not a lot, but it surely’s all I’ve bought.

Denver Broncos (+2.5) over TENNESSEE TITANS

If I requested you which of them of those groups is ranked Thirty second (final) within the NFL in offensive yards per recreation, you’d most likely shout “Broncos!” However the reply is the Titans. Mix that with Denver’s No. 2 rating in defensive yards allowed plus just a few factors of a head begin from the unfold, and this appears to be like like a stable road-’canine alternative.

CHICAGO BEARS (-3) over Detroit Lions

Neanderthal and prehistoric are a few the phrases I’ve used to explain the Bears’ offense this season. However I tip my cap to offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, who has fully unlocked Justin Fields’ abilities to the tune of 31 PPG over the previous three video games — towards the Patriots, Cowboys and Dolphins. Detroit’s Thirty second-ranked yardage protection figures to be in for a really lengthy day.

Justin Fields of the Chicago Bears
Justin Fields of the Chicago Bears
Getty Photographs

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (-6) over Indianapolis Colts

Form of a loopy transfer by the Colts bringing in non-coach Jeff Saturday to switch Frank Reich. He solely has just a few days to determine how his disappointing offensive line can higher shield second-year QB Sam Ehlinger. Raiders have blown some massive leads this season en path to 2-6 however right here’s one spot the place they need to be capable to draw back.

Dallas Cowboys (-5) over GREEN BAY PACKERS

Although this can be a final stand for the Packers, I actually don’t see what they’re going to have the ability to accomplish towards the Dallas protection, particularly with Aaron Rodgers’ thumb and Aaron Jones’ ankle being midweek points. Mike McCarthy ought to have an satisfying homecoming.

Arizona Cardinals (+1.5) over LOS ANGELES RAMS

Rams’ offense has fizzled, and now Matthew Stafford is in concussion protocol. Cardinals QB Kyler Murray is questionable with a hamstring. The backups are John Wolford and Colt McCoy, respectively. I feel McCoy would have a bit extra to work with.

Betting on the NFL?

Los Angeles Chargers (+7) over SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

Although the 49ers are coming off a steamrolling of the Rams, we're simply two weeks faraway from their 21-point dwelling loss to the Chiefs. Chargers are available with a greater report (5-3 vs. 4-4). Line appears line a leap of religion.

Monday

Washington Commanders (+11) over PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

The Philly Mojo has taken successful with the World Collection and MLS Cup ending in losses on the identical day. Although this may not be the night time the 1972 Dolphins get to pop their corks, I do like Taylor Heinicke and the Commanders to maintain this inside single digits.

Finest Bets: Bears, Giants, Commanders.

Lock of the week: Bears (Locks 6-3 in 2022).

Final week: 6-4-3 total, 2-1 Finest Bets.

Thursday: Falcons.

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