The NFL is a league constructed on and desirous of parity. Jets and Giants followers might have forgotten that, what with their groups having resided under the poverty line for thus lengthy.
To this point on this 2022 season, although, we're seeing a brand new sort of parity, through which nearly each group within the league in some way received worse — out of the blue and all on the similar time — than 5-1 Massive Blue and 4-2 Gang Inexperienced.
As I return from trip and thank Erich Richter for filling in final week, we begin by staying aboard these two native trains, which look to be on the specific tracks to the postseason.
New York Jets (-1) over DENVER BRONCOS
Robert Saleh is “amassing receipts” and he’ll discover loads of them, however not so many right here because the Jets rewarded our Lock of the Week alternative with a 27-10 victory over the Packers at Lambeau Area.
The margin might have been greater, because the Jets left 4 factors on the desk on the finish and the zebras needed to price them one other 10 factors alongside the best way. What was extra stark than the rating, although, was the best way the Jets beat down the Packers’ offensive line (which nonetheless comprises prime gamers akin to David Bakhtiari and Elgton Jenkins) and put hit after hit on Aaron Rodgers.
Subsequent up is a damaged Denver group. Many are calling this a entice sport, what with the Patriots coming to MetLife subsequent week. I don’t see that as an issue, as many of those Jets had been on the sector final October when the Broncos hammered them, 26-0. And a handful extra will bear in mind the desultory 36-27 loss to backup QB Brett Rypien on a Thursday night time in New Jersey in 2020.
The Jets ought to have the ability to proceed what they began in Inexperienced Bay, attacking Rypien (who will begin for the injured Russell Wilson), using the regal Breece Corridor and mixing in some well-timed devices whereas not placing Zach Wilson at a lot danger. Particular shout-out from one D.B. to a different: Duane Brown is a marvel who has solidified the Jets’ offensive line in two weeks. It’s wonderful to observe a 37-year-old, 330-pounder block defensive backs 20 yards downfield.
Some predict the Identical Outdated Jets, however to me, meaning the identical as final week.
New York Giants (+3) over JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
The Giants don’t fairly have the expertise that the Jets do, however the teaching duo of Brian Daboll and Wink Martindale is about pretty much as good because it will get. When higher-end gamers begin to arrive, we could possibly be taking a look at a Buffalo South or Kansas Metropolis East form of prolonged success.
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These coaches look to me to be the important thing to a different W. They've a terrific deal with on the AFC competitors and have already got knocked off two of the convention’s prime groups: Tennessee and Baltimore. They’ve tailored to accidents and located makes use of for all 53 gamers, even when we don’t know all of their names.
Detroit Lions (+7) over DALLAS COWBOYS
Even with Dak Prescott set to return for the Cowboys, I’m prepared to take a shot with the Lions of their most well-liked betting position of enormous underdogs. Even factoring of their 29-0 loss at New England, the Lions nonetheless rank third in factors per sport (28), whereas the Cowboys are twenty first at 18.3.
TENNESSEE TITANS (-2.5) over Indianapolis Colts
In search of just a little bounce from the Titans after their bye, as they're 4-0 ATS beneath coach Mike Vrabel in such spots. Robust name, although, because the Colts predict Jonathan Taylor again after going 2-0 with out him.
Atlanta Falcons (+6.5) over CINCINNATI BENGALS
At all times cautious of a Bengals factors explosion, however hoping it doesn’t come this week, with each Ja’Marr Chase (hip) and Tee Higgins (ankle) showing on the midweek harm report. So monitor them. The Falcons are the one remaining undefeated group towards the unfold (6-0).
Cleveland Browns (+6.5) over BALTIMORE RAVENS
Baltimore has been untrustworthy with a lead — see: losses to Miami, Buffalo and the Giants — so I’m not thinking about giving nearly a landing to a division rival. The Browns have the offense to not less than slip within the backdoor.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-11) over CAROLINA PANTHERS
Normally seize double-digit dwelling underdogs, however I can’t get behind a group that’s already in fire-sale mode in October. Hoping Tom Brady pays just a little extra consideration to, , this sport as an alternative of Gisele or Kraft or no matter else that will have been distracting him.
WASHINGTON COMMANDERS (+4.5) over Inexperienced Bay Packers
Figuring Daron Payne, Jonathan Allen and Montez Sweat realized a number of issues from the Jets about get at Aaron Rodgers. Taylor Heinecke had an excellent sport final yr in Lambeau (268 yards passing, 95 yards speeding), although Washington tousled within the pink zone a number of instances and misplaced, 24-10.
LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (-7) over Houston Texans
It is a robust quantity to put as a result of the Raiders don’t should be favored by this a lot over anybody primarily based on efficiency to this point. They did have the near-miss, 30-29 loss at Kansas Metropolis earlier than the bye, and Josh Jacobs is coming off video games of 144 and 154 speeding yards.
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (+2.5) over Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
Although it’s been an up-and-down season to date for the 49ers, they've been wonderful of their two dwelling video games, beating the Seahawks, 27-7, and the Rams, 24-9. The Chiefs are again to their outdated non-covering methods at 2-4 ATS.
Seattle Seahawks (+5.5) over LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
The Seahawks have proven flashes on offense (48 factors at Detroit, 32 at New Orleans) and protection (9 factors allowed final week vs. Arizona). Hoping they are often good on each side of the ball in the identical week. Schedule might produce a small edge, because the Chargers performed practically a full time beyond regulation Monday night time.
Pittsburgh Steelers (+7) over MIAMI DOLPHINS
Was within the Dolphins till the road hit the important thing variety of seven. Now it’s more durable to cross up the famend underdog, Mike Tomlin. Pondering the Beneath, too, in a probable matchup of two quarterbacks getting back from concussions in Tua Tagovailoa and Kenny Pickett.
Monday
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-8) over Chicago Bears
Hate to play the massive favourite in prime time, however I can’t sit there for 3 hours praying that the Bears’ prehistoric offense will rating towards Invoice Belichick’s protection. The Patriots shut out the Lions, who've an excellent offense, so I don’t maintain out a lot hope for Justin Fields right here.
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Finest bets
Patriots, Jets, Giants.
Lock of the week
Patriots (Locks 4-2 in 2022).
Final week
9-5 total, 2-1 Finest Bets.
Thursday
Cardinals (W).
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