Browns vs. Ravens predictions: Lamar Jackson will outrun Nick Chubb

Our NFL betting skilled brings you his finest Browns vs. Ravens predictions and picks for his or her NFL Week 7 matchup, which is stay Sunday at 1 p.m. EST on CBS.

Two shut losses and one blowout have despatched the Cleveland Browns to the again of the pack within the tight AFC North, however there’s floor to be made up if they will discover success on the Baltimore Ravens. No lead has been protected for the Ravens regardless of MVP-level play from quarterback Lamar Jackson.

Browns vs. Ravens predictions

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Browns vs. Ravens picks and evaluation

The Browns (2-4) acquired Zapped final week. None apart from rookie Bailey Zappe, who entered the season because the New England Patriots’ third-string quarterback, accomplished 24 of 34 passes for 309 yards and two touchdowns in a dominant 38-15 win. Cleveland’s protection solely managed to sack the rookie twice (each instances Myles Garrett) and file two different quarterback hits. The Browns rank towards the underside in most main defensive classes proper now.

The Ravens (3-3), alternatively, maintain alternating wins with losses. We talked about in final week’s preview of their highway sport in opposition to the New York Giants that Baltimore has had bother closing out video games within the second half. Lo and behold, the Ravens led 20-10 early within the fourth quarter however gave up two late touchdowns to lose 24-20. With Baltimore and Cincinnati for the division lead and Pittsburgh additionally 2-4, the division is shaping up lots like final yr — nobody fairly needs to run away with the title but.

Lamar Jackson
Lamar Jackson
Getty Pictures

Ravens -6.5

Cheap individuals would agree that John Harbaugh is a greater, and definitely extra skilled, coach than Kevin Stefanski. Now's his time to indicate it. It’s as near a real must-win sport as a division chief may have in Week 7.

The Ravens have owned this matchup ever since they shed their pores and skin because the “outdated” Browns and packed as much as transfer to Baltimore. Not solely are they 34-12 all-time within the sequence, they’re 10-3 previously 13 conferences.

Lamar Jackson has extra passing touchdowns (11) and speeding touchdowns (4) in opposition to Cleveland in his profession than some other opponent. He’s posted a better-combined passer score (96.9) and completion share (67.3 %) in opposition to the Browns than his different two division rivals.

Lastly, there’s the home-field benefit issue, the place Baltimore has crushed Cleveland 5 of the previous six instances. Getting the slumping Browns now could be a significant get-right sport for the Ravens, particularly their suspect protection.

Decide: Ravens to win (-6.5) @ -110 with Caesars Sportsbook

Betting on the NFL?

Over 45.5 complete factors

5 of the Browns’ six video games this season have hit the over. Look no additional than their defensive woes to determine why.

The Browns are tied for thirtieth within the NFL in scoring protection at 27.2 factors per sport. They’re notably susceptible on the bottom, permitting 131.5 yards per sport (twenty fourth), which simply so occurs to be the place Jackson and the Ravens prefer to function.

Whereas beginning Jacoby Brissett at quarterback isn’t the best scenario for the Browns, the offense flows by means of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. Final week in opposition to the Patriots regarded brutal, however that is nonetheless a operating again tandem that’s mixed for 10 complete touchdowns (9 speeding, one receiving) over six video games.

Nick Chubb
Nick Chubb
Getty Pictures

The final time these groups performed, Jackson left early with an ankle damage that in the end ended his season. That sport, for what it’s price, nonetheless hit the over with a 24-22 end. However throughout the Jackson period this sequence has additionally seen closing scores like 47-42, 31-15 and 40-25 — the latter a Cleveland victory.

Decide: Over 45.5 factors scored @ -110 with Caesars Sportsbook

Nick Chubb underneath 77.5 rush yards

Chubb was chugging together with a unbelievable begin to the season, gaining totals of 141, 87, 113, 118 and 134 speeding yards over his first 5 video games.

Invoice Belichick and the Patriots centered on containing the Browns’ run sport in Week 6, and so they acquired outcomes. Not solely did Chubb end with a season-low 56 speeding yards, Kareem Hunt solely took 4 carries for 12. Quickly the Browns have been means behind and needed to air it out to try a comeback.

We will foresee one thing related occurring Sunday. The Ravens are all too conversant in what the Browns love to do. And so they’ve completed a fantastic job in opposition to Chubb all through his profession, limiting him to 56.6 yards per sport on 4.6 yards per try over eight conferences.

Whereas the Ravens have struggled to shut out video games, they’re normally on level within the first half. This workforce was beating the Buffalo Payments 20-3 late within the first half three weeks in the past. They will handle a victory in the event that they set the same tempo and power Brissett to throw — limiting Chubb’s possibilities to do injury.

Decide: Browns RB Nick Chubb to hurry for underneath 77.5 yards @ -119 at Caesars Sportsbook

Browns vs. Ravens odds

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Appropriate at time of publishing and topic to alter.

CrewUnfoldCash lineWhole Factors 45.5
Browns(+6.5) -110+228Over -110
Ravens(-6.5) -110-285Underneath -110

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