Chiefs vs. 49ers predictions: Christian McCaffrey boost no match for Patrick Mahomes

Our NFL betting knowledgeable provides finest betting predictions and picks for Sunday’s sport between the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers, dwell on CBS at 4:15 p.m. ET.

Carolina Panthers star Christian McCaffrey was dealt to the San Francisco 49ers Thursday in a late-night stunner. It stays to be seen if he’ll go well with up for the Niners on Sunday once they host Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs.

Chiefs vs. 49ers picks

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Chiefs vs 49ers prediction and evaluation

The 49ers (3-3) have been three-point residence underdogs earlier within the week, however as of Friday morning that unfold shortened to +2. San Francisco, a run-heavy crew with a steady of OK backs, little doubt will enhance by feeding the dynamic McCaffrey the ball. The query is whether or not McCaffrey will probably be prepared by Sunday to play for his new crew on the opposite facet of the nation. After a one-sided loss to the Atlanta Falcons, the Niners positive might use him.

The Chiefs (4-2) are additionally coming off a loss, however a extra comprehensible one, because the Buffalo Payments received the newest installment of the brand new finest rivalry in soccer, 24-20. Mahomes threw for 338 yards and two touchdowns but in addition tossed two interceptions. They’re nonetheless one of many three or 4 finest groups in soccer, however the Chiefs can’t afford extra early-season losses in the event that they’d wish to preserve tempo with Buffalo within the AFC.

Chiefs moneyline -135

McCaffrey has confronted the Chiefs as soon as in his profession when, between accidents in 2020, he ran 18 occasions for 69 yards and a landing and caught 10 passes for 82 yards and one other landing.

Is that alone sufficient to maneuver a diffusion by a complete level, particularly with the uncertainty over whether or not he’ll overcome the logistical obstacles to have the ability to play?

It does assist that the 49ers preserve the ball on the bottom. After Jeff Wilson Jr., their second-leading rusher is WR Deebo Samuel, who stated he doesn’t like being the twin menace. Their third-leading rusher is injured quarterback Trey Lance. There’s clearly room for enchancment.

However the Chiefs have the fourth-best speeding protection within the league, partly as a result of they’re way more simply exploitable excessive of their below-average secondary. Whether or not CMC is in 49ers gear Sunday, we aren’t betting on Jimmy Garoppolo to make the throws essential to outduel Mahomes.

Jimmy Garoppolo
Jimmy Garoppolo
Getty Photos

Bonus: The 49ers have owned one of many league’s higher defenses for years now, however Mahomes is 2-0 in opposition to them, together with, in fact, Tremendous Bowl LIV.

Choose: Chiefs to win outright @ -135 with Caesars Sportsbook.

Beneath 48.5 whole factors

Simply one of many 49ers’ previous 9 video games, counting the common season and playoffs, noticed the over hit. That got here in Week 5 in opposition to the Panthers, who're shaping as much as be the worst crew in soccer, that means the 49ers’ 37-15 win may be known as an aberration.

That is a type of groups you possibly can depend on to win video games with protection and working the soccer. In different phrases, a recipe for the underneath.

The Chiefs little doubt have the power to run up the rating, however they’re a balanced 3-3 within the O/U column this yr. When Mahomes doesn’t take as a lot care with the ball as he ought to, it’s going to result in picks and deserted drives that might have resulted in factors.

The Niners have grabbed 5 interceptions this yr whereas main the league in whole protection and rating second in passing protection. Even when Mahomes had their quantity a few Tremendous Bowls in the past, we aren’t anticipating both crew to hit the 30s this time round. Even a 28-20 closing rating would make your “underneath” decide a successful ticket.

Choose: Beneath 48.5 factors scored @ -110 with Caesars Sportsbook.

Harrison Butker over 7.5 factors

Let’s do one thing slightly totally different and discuss kickers. The Chiefs actually don’t thoughts having Harrison Butker again after an harm to his left (plant) ankle brought on them to make use of Matt Ammendola and Matthew Wright for a spell. Even security Justin Reid made an additional level for them.

Butker returned final week and break up the uprights from 62 yards prefer it was no huge deal. We have now to imagine that ankle is feeling higher.

The 49ers permit 14.8 factors per sport, second-fewest within the league solely to Buffalo, whom Kansas Metropolis confronted final week. You don’t get many alternatives to attain touchdowns on a protection like that, so beating San Francisco might come down to creating area objectives early typically.

Harrison Butker
Harrison Butker
Getty Photos

Butker completed with eight factors final week and wishes simply eight for this over to hit. That’s two area objectives and two PATs, or three area objectives to simply hit 9. He could be a weapon from an awesome distance out, and on prime of that, the climate forecast Sunday in Santa Clara is obvious and sunny.

Choose: Chiefs Okay Harrison Butker to attain over 7.5 factors @ -111 at Caesars Sportsbook.

Chiefs vs. 49ers odds

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Right at time of publishing and topic to alter.

CrewUnfoldCash lineWhole Factors 48.5
Chiefs(-2) -110-135Over -110
49ers(+2) -110+115Beneath -110

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