There are only a few markets in all of sports activities that do hyperbole and hysteria, fairly like Toronto. When the Maple Leafs are good, the parade routes are deliberate. However when the Leafs are dangerous, hoo boy, does it get ugly.
Proper now, the Maple Leafs are coping with the latter.
The Leafs, who got here into the season because the second favourite to win the Stanley Cup, have sputtered to a 4-4-2 begin and have a -3 objective differential although they’ve performed one of many softest schedules within the NHL. Toronto has already misplaced to bottom-dwellers Arizona, Montreal, San Jose, and Anaheim as massive favorites and can be in the same spot towards the Philadelphia Flyers, who misplaced to the Rangers, 1-0, in additional time on Tuesday evening.
On the time of writing, the Maple Leafs are a -330 favourite over the Flyers on BetMGM.
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Flyers vs. Maple Leafs odds (BetMGM)
- Flyers: +260
- Maple Leafs: -330
- Over/Underneath: 6.5
Flyers vs. Maple Leafs prediction
Whereas the Leafs have severely underwhelmed relative to their expectations, the Flyers have been a pleasing shock with a 5-2-2 report and a +2 objective differential. Philadelphia was anticipated to be a contender for the Wood Spoon, so placing 12 factors of their pockets after 9 video games is one other feather within the cap for head coach John Tortorella.
The dangerous information is that Philadelphia’s modest success appears unsustainable.
There’s no secret about how the Flyers are getting outcomes. Goaltender Carter Hart has been spectacular, posting a .938 save share and a +12.6 Targets Saved Above Anticipated in seven video games performed. It’s anyone’s guess the place the Flyers could be with out Hart’s heroics, because the staff ranks thirty first in anticipated targets charge and high-danger scoring probability share at 5-on-5. Most video games that includes Philadelphia have adopted a sample, the Flyers work arduous in their very own zone, and Hart retains them within the recreation lengthy sufficient to nick a degree or two.
That plan gained’t work on Wednesday, because the Flyers will begin rookie goaltender Felix Sandstrom in Toronto. This can be Sandstrom’s third recreation of the season and the eighth of his profession, so it’s arduous to challenge what sort of goaltender he’ll be on a nightly foundation. We will be fairly assured he gained’t be as sturdy as Hart, although.
And that’s a recipe for catastrophe since Philadelphia is bleeding scoring probabilities to start out the season. The Flyers are second-to-last within the NHL at stopping high-danger scoring alternatives and have allowed the third-most anticipated targets at 5-on-5.
There is no such thing as a approach which you can belief the Leafs at this value, however that is nearly as good a spot for them to get proper as you may draw up. They need to be capable to put up a crooked quantity, and with their defensive play additionally wanting spotty, a play on the over is sensible.
Flyers vs. Maple Leafs choose
- Over 6.5 -115 (FanDuel)
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