The final time the Islanders and Rangers met, it was the Isles who have been in a must-win spot.
Losers of three in a row and 4 of their first six video games on the season, Lane Lambert’s Islanders needed to make the most of an important scheduling spot in opposition to their rivals. The Rangers had simply performed the Avalanche the evening earlier than and have been beginning their back-up goalie, Jaroslav Halak, in opposition to an Isles crew that had two days off to arrange for the Blueshirts.
The Isles would win, 3-0, to start a five-game successful streak.
On Tuesday evening, the roles are reversed. Whereas the Islanders have settled into the NHL season with an 8-5 report and are coming off a come-from-behind win in opposition to the Flames on Monday evening, the Rangers have sputtered and now discover themselves within the midst of a 3-3-3 stretch.
Regardless of the chilly streak, the Blueshirts are strong -188 favorites at Madison Sq. Backyard in New York Metropolis on Tuesday evening. Puck drop is ready for 7:00 p.m. and the sport will be streamed on ESPN+.
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Islanders vs. Rangers odds
- Islanders: +152
- Rangers: -188
- Over/Beneath: 6
Islanders vs. Rangers prediction
There's loads of logic to bookmakers putting in the Rangers as sizable favorites over the Isles regardless of the groups heading in reverse instructions proper now. The Blueshirts are at residence, have the remainder benefit and can begin their all-world goaltender, whereas the Islanders will sit theirs in favor of Semyon Varlamov.
Igor Shesterkin offers the Rangers an enormous edge within the blue paint, however the remainder of the story of the tape suggests this matchup is nearer than the chances recommend.
For one, the Isles have been terrific at 5-on-5. The Islanders rank third in objectives per 60 minutes at even energy and skate into MSG with the fifth-best 5-on-5 objective differential. Skeptics will level to the Isles’ common anticipated objectives fee and high-danger scoring likelihood share as a sign for regression, however they’ve improved these numbers since their 2-4 begin. Over their final seven contests, the Isles personal a 52.3% xG fee and a 51.7% high-danger likelihood share. These numbers will play with Sorokin and Varlamov in web.
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As for the Rangers, they’re coping with the inverse of what we noticed final season after they have been successful regardless of some pedestrian peripheral metrics. The Rangers rank seventh within the NHL in anticipated objectives fee and eighth in high-danger likelihood share, however they’re twenty fifth in 5-on-5 objective differential and twenty fifth in objectives per 60 at even energy. Some constructive regression ought to come for the Blueshirts, however scoring at 5-on-5 was a difficulty for this crew final season, solely this time they don’t have a top-5 energy play to bail them out.
There’s no arguing that the Rangers needs to be appreciable favorites over the Islanders on Tuesday evening, however this quantity – which means the Isles have roughly a 39.7% likelihood of successful – is a bit wealthy contemplating the type of the underdogs.
Rangers vs. Islanders decide
Islanders +152 (FanDuel)
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