Where the Big 12 and Pac-12 TV negotiations are headed and what it means for college football’s future

Let’s do some knowledgeable hypothesis about what is occurring and what doubtless will occur with the Huge 12 and Pac-12 TV offers. What I’m going to stipulate will impression whether or not there may be much more school soccer realignment.

1. When it's all stated and executed, I feel the Huge 12 will find yourself on ESPN and Fox Sports activities, and the Pac-12 can be on ESPN and Amazon Prime Video.

2. I imagine they'll obtain related contracts. The Huge 12 has been aiming for $400 million per yr, however I’m undecided they'll get there. They're within the $350M-$360M vary with ESPN paying a a lot better share than Fox as a result of ESPN could have extra and superior video games if a deal occurs.

Arizona State defensive back Ro Torrence (9) defends against a pass intended for Stanford wide receiver Brycen Tremayne during an NCAA college football game in Stanford, Calif., Saturday, Oct. 22, 2022.
The Pac-12, nonetheless that includes groups akin to Arizona State and Stanford, will attempt to carry digital platform Amazon Prime Video into its subsequent set of broadcast rights offers.
AP

3. In the meantime, the Pac-12 doubtless will search a monetary premium from digital participant Amazon to attempt to match the Huge 12’s haul. Amazon has not checked out itself as a unique sort of distributor versus conventional gamers, that means it doesn’t actually imagine it ought to must pay greater than its competitors. How that performs out can be vital for the Pac-12. Amazon already is working with the NFL, however the Pac-12 must be cautious of repeating the publicity issues which have occurred with its Pac-12 Community catastrophe. There may be not a lot indication Apple is closely concerned (although I wouldn’t completely remove the chance). Can Pac-12 get to $400M? Once more, I feel they could get shut, however I’m undecided they'll get there.

4. The Pac-12 presently has a bonus over the Huge 12 in its negotiations. The Pac-12 can negotiate with anybody. To obtain probably the most cash, it doubtless goes to wish Amazon to step up. Fox Sports activities has curiosity, however between the dangerous blood stemming from Fox’s alleged involvement in USC and UCLA transferring to the Huge Ten and Fox not being as aggressive in bidding, I feel the Pac-12 and Fox could also be executed with one another long-term. I don’t see many different suitors moreover ESPN and Amazon for the Pac-12, which might hurt the quantity the convention receives. I assume Warner Bros. Discovery might be a wild card.

TCU quarterback Max Duggan (15) looks to pass as he is pursued by Kansas State defensive end Brendan Mott (38) during an NCAA college football game Saturday, Oct. 22, 2022.
The Huge 12, with holdovers akin to TCU and Kansas State, has roughly 18 months remaining in an unique negotiating interval with incumbent rights holders ESPN and Fox Sports activities.
AP

5. The Huge 12 nonetheless has three years remaining on its present contracts with ESPN and Fox. In the event that they negotiate an extension, there can be no sweetener by way of added cash for the subsequent three years earlier than Texas and Oklahoma depart for the SEC. In 2012, ESPN reported the ESPN/Fox Huge 12 deal to be a 13-year deal for $200 million. The yearly charge is usually greater towards the tip of contracts. Anyway, 2012 is a very long time in the past.

The Huge 12 might wait rather less than a yr and a half to maneuver out of the unique negotiating window with incumbents ESPN and Fox and go to the open market, getting the digital gamers akin to Amazon concerned. That may create extra leverage. Nonetheless, there's a robust feeling the Huge 12 desires to do a deal now and stay with ESPN and Fox, that are the most important media gamers in school soccer.

6. If the cash is shut, you'd quite be on ESPN and Fox Sports activities than Amazon at this level. Possibly that modifications at some point, however that’s not right this moment. Nonetheless, if universities are receiving related cash from their cuts of the brand new rights offers, does any college depart the Pac-12 for the Huge 12? Or vice versa?

Fast Clicks

Jay Wright speaks at a news conference about his resignation as NCAA college basketball coach at Villanova.
Former Villanova basketball coach Jay Wright is a probably nice rent for CBS/Turner Sports activities and a potential inheritor to the legendary Invoice Raftery.
AP

A probably nice rent by CBS and Turner Sports activities in Jay Wright. In addition to being a Corridor of Famer, Wright is beloved for being a very good man. That might be an excellent combo. Let’s be clear: Invoice Raftery will not be going wherever. However he can be 80 by the point the subsequent March Insanity rolls round. If Wright, 60, commits to broadcasting and doesn’t return to teaching, he ultimately might transfer from the studio to be a part of the Last 4 sport broadcast. … Brian Windhorst index fingers up time: We detailed just a few weeks in the past what's going on with the NBA’s up to date app. As a follow-up, hold your eye on what is occurring in Los Angeles with Clipper Imaginative and prescient. The NBA staff goes to supply its video games direct-to-consumer with six completely different feeds. This can be a Steve Ballmer transfer, however don’t suppose for a second the entire league gained’t be very curious to see how the $199-per-season bundle performs. … It’s a win for MLB to have the World Baseball Basic on Fox Sports activities and its household of networks. It was beforehand on MLB Community. The occasion has an opportunity to be one thing at some point if pitchers aren’t held again from collaborating absolutely. Undecided that ever will occur, however in worldwide soccer, the place the World Cup is the most important match in sports activities, there may be not even a query of whether or not gamers will symbolize their nation. The WBC could by no means get there, but when it does, it might be particular. … MLB Community could have its morning program, “MLB Central”, on in the course of the World Collection, which is an efficient job and about time. .. On Wednesday from 4-6 p.m., SiriusXM’s Mad Canine Radio will broadcast a two hour-tribute to Christopher (Mad Canine) Russo earlier than he goes into the Radio Corridor of Fame on Nov. 1. Steve Torre will emcee the stay present that can characteristic friends. … We knew Peyton Manning wasn’t at his residence for the “Manningcast.” Now we all know he's in his buddy’s storage. “It’s a buddy of mine,” Manning advised Jeff Agrest of the Chicago Solar-Occasions. “At first, I used to be going to do it at my home. Then I discovered that ESPN goes to have to go away all that gear there year-round, and that didn’t excite me. So I known as my buddy and stated, ‘Hey, you've got this storage, you don’t use it a lot, it’s bought numerous area. Do you thoughts if I did this present out of it?’ He was nice. He was very gracious to do it.” … The Giants-Jaguars sport began with out announcers resulting from an audio concern earlier than we lastly heard Chris Myers and Mark Schlereth. Myers struggled all through the sport and lacked emotion on the Giants’ closing cease on the purpose line.

The significance of the Barkley deal

Generally it's good to obtain affirmation of one thing you already know, which is what Warner Bros. Discovery gave us by signing Charles Barkley and the remainder of the “Contained in the NBA” crew to contract extensions that can hold them on Turner Sports activities — if the community is ready to retain NBA rights in three years when its contract is up. Shaquille O’Neal, Ernie Johnson and Kenny Smith receiving new offers is important, however Barkley is the kingpin.

NBA TNT Analysts, Shaquille O'Neal, Ernie Johnson, Kenny Smith and Charles Barkley
Turner Sports activities’ contract extensions with Shaquille O’Neal, Ernie Johnson, Kenny Smith and — most significantly — Charles Barkley sign its dedication to retaining NBA rights.
NBAE by way of Getty Photographs

I reported final week that it was a 10-year deal that was for greater than $100 million. I don’t know the precise quantity, however I imagine it's nearer to $200 million — doubtless within the Tony RomoTroy Aikman $18M a yr neighborhood. Barkley bought paid.

This can be a transfer you make as you put together your bid for the NBA. Although there have been numerous elements that led to Romo’s sports-media-changing payday, the most important was the significance for Paramount/CBS to retain its NFL rights. Previous to the pandemic, there was a sense that Bob Iger’s Disney not solely needed Tremendous Bowls, however might go after CBS’ AFC Sunday bundle to air on ABC. CBS didn't wish to go into NFL rights negotiations with Romo lining up on Disney’s aspect.

On the finish of the day, the leagues virtually at all times go for the bids with probably the most cash, however when you've got arguably the best studio present in sports activities tv historical past, it's a good start line.

The leagues care about presentation. ESPN/ABC was unable to improve its No. 1 soccer sales space previous to securing its improved take care of extra video games and Tremendous Bowls. Nonetheless, it promised it could, and delivered first with the Manningcast after which by hiring Aikman and Joe Buck.

Actions at all times converse louder — and the brand new offers for Barkley and Co. inform you Turner undoubtedly desires to maintain the NBA. And in relation to its iconic studio staff, it made certain to field out ESPN, Amazon, Apple and every other entity which will need in on the subsequent set of NBA sport packages.

Faculty Soccer Playoff points

Kelee Ringo #5 of the Georgia Bulldogs carries the ball into the endzone after getting an interception in the fourth quarter of the game against the Alabama Crimson Tide during the 2022 CFP National Championship Game at Lucas Oil Stadium on January 10, 2022 in Indianapolis, Indiana.
It’s tough to schedule the faculty soccer playoff in January across the NFL.
Getty Photographs

A actually good story from Sports activities Illustrated’s Ross Dellenger on the difficulties of scheduling the faculty soccer playoff as a result of the NFL dominates so most of the good home windows. Dellenger writes:

All of this has school soccer executives rightfully stewing as they try and schedule eight further video games in an expanded playoff — all of the whereas attempting to keep away from going head-to-head with America’s No. 1 sport.

“You’re simply attempting to attenuate all of the methods the NFL will f— you,” says one prime CFP official.

The perfect time to schedule the NCAA soccer championship may be the week between the NFL’s convention championships and the Tremendous Bowl. That's in all probability too late within the minds of school directors and there might be sponsorship points as individuals gear up for the Tremendous Bowl, however that's the week to do it. It suits the nicest from a viewership perspective.

The perfect date for faculty soccer playoff semifinals might be the Saturday earlier than the NFL convention championships. These dates don’t appear to be into account at this level, however we're at all times attempting to assist.

Black Friday win for Amazon

Fans wear turkey hats in honor of Thanksgiving as they attend the game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Los Angeles Rams at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum on November 19, 2018.
In lieu of a sport on Thanksgiving Day, Amazon is getting an unique NFL sport on Black Friday, beginning in 2023.
Getty Photographs

It's exhausting to not suppose the Black Friday NFL sport on Amazon Prime Video goes to be an enormous win for the streamer beginning subsequent season. The NFL in all probability can be incentivized to make the primary 3 p.m. matchup a very good one to start out on the correct footing. This Friday sport very simply might turn into part of Thanksgiving soccer custom over time. When Amazon and the NFL mentioned its long-term deal for “Thursday Night time Soccer,” there have been talks about Amazon getting the Thanksgiving evening window, however in the end the NFL determined to proceed with NBC’s Sunday evening crew on Turkey Day. That resulted within the deal for the Black Friday sport. To me, having the Amazon Prime Online game within the late afternoon in all probability is best than a primetime sport on Friday because it might be an ideal time to veg on the sofa with some leftovers. Plus, the NFL in all probability didn’t wish to have any points probably impinging on what's historically an enormous highschool soccer evening and is roofed by the 1961 Sports activities Broadcasting Act.

A Sports activities Broadcasting Act for 2022

If I might create a 2022 Sports activities Broadcasting Act, it could embody eliminating all lower-third information feeds throughout stay sporting occasions. The continual scroll is unneeded within the day and age of the smartphone. I feel most community executives know higher, as evidenced by the very fact they don’t have it on throughout huge video games. ESPN doesn’t have it on “Monday Night time Soccer.” They do like to advertise stuff within the right-hand portion of the scroll, however it's visually unneeded. Name your native congressperson about this vital concern.

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