Nicely, right here we're once more. Some issues are the identical and a few are totally different because the Jets journey to Foxborough to tackle the Patriots on Sunday.
One factor that’s the identical is the Patriots nonetheless have a large successful streak over the Jets, which now stands at 13 video games after New England’s 22-17 victory at MetLife Stadium on Oct. 30. One other is the stakes stay excessive thanks the Jets’ upset victory over the Payments earlier than the bye. The Jets are 6-3 and with a win would declare first place within the AFC East on tiebreakers over the idle Dolphins (7-3) and Payments (6-3 and dealing with the Browns).
One change is that each groups might be getting some gamers again from damage. Huge receiver DeVante Parker and security Kyle Dugger are two essential Patriots who may return, whereas Corey Davis, nominally the Jets’ high receiver, additionally might be again.
The main factor that must change for the Jets to cowl as three-point underdogs, not to mention win, is Zach Wilson has to discover a option to not disintegrate at Invoice Belichick’s toes. Wilson threw three interceptions within the first assembly and was credited with one rush for two yards.
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Towards the Payments the next week, Wilson ran 5 occasions for twenty-four crucial yards, shifting the chains at key occasions. If Wilson had turned even one among his interceptions towards the Patriots into a primary down, the Jets most likely would have gained that sport. They more than likely would have gained had there not been a roughing the passer penalty on John Franklin-Myers that negated a pick-six that might have made it 17-3. Replays confirmed that to be a legit name however would the Jets have gotten the identical flag on the highway if, say, Matthew Judon had put the identical hit on Wilson?
When you had guess on the Jets every of the final 13 video games towards the Patriots, you’d be livin’ in a van down by the river and consuming dry cat meals. However that doesn’t imply they will’t beat them on Sunday. I imagine the way in which they beat the Payments confirmed the Jets what they should lastly conquer the Patriots. So right here goes …
Choose: Jets +3
NEW YORK GIANTS (-3) over Detroit Lions
The Lions come into MetLife with statistically the worst protection within the NFL in yards allowed, they usually have allowed probably the most factors within the league. Although they're 5-4 ATS and have performed a number of shut video games, one end result that stands out is their 29-0 drubbing at New England. The Giants ultimately will stub their toes once more but it surely gained’t be this week in windy circumstances towards an indoor workforce.
Chicago Bears (+3) over ATLANTA FALCONS
The Bears are the primary workforce in NFL historical past to lose three video games in a row by which they scored at the least 29 factors. These losses, nevertheless, got here towards the Cowboys, Dolphins and Lions — good offensive groups. The Falcons aren't that. Additionally, the Bears scored 33 in a win at New England earlier than that ignominious streak. You may rely on Justin Fields and might’t depend on the Falcons to maintain tempo.
Buffalo Payments (-7.5) over Cleveland Browns (in Detroit)
The change venue from Snowpocalypse Orchard Park to toasty and dry Ford Subject dropped the road a full level, but it surely may make the Payments a greater guess than they have been. The circumstances now not reward Cleveland’s ground-heavy assault. Unsure about Josh Allen’s elbow however I do determine the Payments can be hopping mad after consecutive losses to the Jets and Vikings.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (+6.5) over Philadelphia Eagles
Jeff Saturday was a winner in his Colts interim debut as Jonathan Taylor broke a protracted one towards the win-repellant Raiders. It is a enormous step up at school. The most important concern with the Eagles is they're touring on a brief week after a bodily draining loss to the Commanders.
Los Angeles Rams (+3) over NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
This choice comes all the way down to not wanting to put a area purpose with the Saints. Cooper Kupp is gone from the Rams and it’s straightforward to suppose they haven't any expertise left, however Matthew Stafford is anticipated to return and possibly guys like Aaron Donald, Leonard Floyd, Bobby Wagner and Jalen Ramsey can take over a sport the way in which they used to.
Carolina Panthers (+13) over BALTIMORE RAVENS
Right here’s a variety that doesn’t look fairly proper. The Ravens have bookended their season with a 15-point win over the Jets and 14-point victory over the Saints. In between, each sport has been determined by single digits, together with margins of two, three, three and 4. Baker Mayfield returns for the Panthers and is taking part in to save lots of his profession as a beginning QB, more than likely.
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Washington Commanders (-3) over HOUSTON TEXANS
Not fearful in regards to the quick week and highway back-to-back for the Commanders, as a result of that they had an 81-47 play benefit and stored the ball for over 40 minutes. They might have performed this sport Tuesday morning. Washington can preserve pounding Brian Robinson Jr. and Antonio Gibson on the NFL’s Thirtieth-ranked yardage protection.
Las Vegas Raiders (+2.5) over DENVER BRONCOS
Denver permits the fewest factors per sport in NFL (16.6) but it surely additionally scores the fewest (14.6). It’s arduous to cowl even a small unfold as a favourite while you rating so little. Raiders are 0-6 in one-score video games however at the least they play shut video games. They nonetheless have sufficient expertise to win one right here.
Dallas Cowboys (-1.5) over MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Regardless of a lot public cash on Minnesota, the books are holding agency on Dallas as a small highway favourite. The Vikings are a lofty 8-1 however personal only a plus-35 level differential and in addition rank twenty ninth in yardage protection.
PITTSBURGH STEELERS (+3.5) over Cincinnati Bengals
With Ja’Marr Chase nonetheless out for Cincinnati and T.J. Watt obtainable for Pittsburgh, this can be a very attention-grabbing name at this quantity. We’ve given this development a little bit of a relaxation right here however Mike Tomlin is 48-26 in his profession as an underdog, together with a Week 1 win in Cincinnati.
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (+5.5) over Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
It’s the identical story for the Chiefs, who stay a top-tier Tremendous Bowl contender however are solely 3-5-1 towards the unfold. It’s a priority to provide factors with them. Huge receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams returned to apply on Wednesday for the Chargers. If even one among them can come again, keep on the sector and produce, it will be an enormous assist for Justin Herbert.
Monday
Arizona Cardinals (+8) over SAN FRANCISCO 49ers (in Mexico Metropolis)
Huge query mark at quarterback for the Cardinals. They beat the Rams with Colt McCoy in for the injured Kyler Murray, however now McCoy is harm. Whereas this may be a pleasant quantity to again Murray, you’d need double digits if Hint McSorley is underneath heart for Arizona.
Finest bets: Commanders, Bears, Cowboys.
Lock of the week: Commanders (Locks 6-4 in 2022).
Final week: 7-7 general, 2-1 Finest Bets.
Thursday: Packers.
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