2022 NFL Week 12 early predictions, picks: Bet low on Jets vs. Bears

We’re right down to the ultimate seven weeks of the NFL season, and this week ought to carry some essential outcomes throughout the league – beginning on Thursday, which options three monstrous video games that would assist resolve among the best division races.

All 32 groups are in motion in Week 12 for the primary time since early October, and the betting odds are everywhere in the board. Ten of the 16 favorites are at residence, whereas six groups are favored to win by greater than a landing, together with two of the three favorites on Thanksgiving Day.

Right here’s a take a look at the chances this week at BetMGM and the video games we’re concentrating on early on:


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NFL Week 12 betting odds, level spreads (by way of BetMGM)

Payments (-9) @ Lions
Giants @ Cowboys (-9)
Patriots @ Vikings (-3)
Buccaneers (-3) @ Browns
Bengals (-1.5) @ Titans
Texans @ Dolphins (-12)
Bears @ Jets (-4.5)
Falcons @ Commanders (-3.5)
Broncos (-2.5) @ Panthers
Ravens (-4) @ Jaguars
Chargers (-3.5) @ Cardinals
Raiders @ Seahawks (-3.5)
Rams @ Chiefs (-14.5)
Saints @ 49ers (-8.5)
Packers @ Eagles (-7)
Steelers @ Colts (-3)

Vikings -3 vs. Patriots

Look, final week was dangerous for the Vikings. There’s no approach round that. However this seems like a quintessential buy-low spot for a staff that, flaws and all, continues to be one of many 10 finest groups within the league and is simply two weeks faraway from beating the Tremendous Bowl favorites on the street.

The Patriots have strung collectively a number of victories after final week’s miracle win on a last-second punt return, however not each win streak is identical. The final time we noticed this staff in prime time, it was blown out by the Bears, and its wins since have come in opposition to the Jets, Colts, and … Jets.

These wins over New York are this staff’s solely victories all 12 months in opposition to a staff with a successful document, and there are nonetheless critical questions on New England’s offense. It might not really feel nice to again Minnesota after final week’s clunker, however it deserves extra respect than this.

Kirk Cousins
Kirk Cousins
Getty Pictures

Bears-Jets underneath 41.5

This whole is likely to be over 40 proper now, however I wouldn’t be stunned in any respect to see this one find yourself within the 30s given all of the uncertainty at quarterback for each of those groups.

The Bears’ offense has proven indicators of life behind Justin Fields, who has seemingly reinvented himself midseason as a dual-threat celebrity. That’s in jeopardy after he was carted off with a shoulder harm late in final week’s loss to the Falcons, placing backup Trevor Siemian in line for his sixth begin in 5 years.

On the opposite facet, Jets coach Robert Saleh gained’t decide to starter Zach Wilson after an abominable exhibiting on offense final week. If both quarterback is dominated out for this week, it might immediate some motion on the underneath and put this whole on the transfer. I’d be trying to wager it earlier than that occurs.

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Melvin Gordon III #25, formerly of the Denver Broncos reacts after fumbling during an NFL game
Melvin Gordon III #25, previously of the Denver Broncos reacts after fumbling throughout an NFL recreation
Getty Pictures

Broncos-Panthers underneath 35

Typically the plain wager is the one value making. That’s the case right here with the offensively challenged Broncos and Panthers going through off in a recreation that oddsmakers can’t value low sufficient.

Denver owns the NFL’s worst scoring offense (14.7 PPG) and third-best scoring protection (17.1 PPG) and has posted a ridiculous 9-1 document to the underneath, even with low totals each single week. In the meantime, the Panthers are working out of choices at quarterback after Baker Mayfield’s worst exhibiting of the 12 months in a 13-3 loss in Baltimore.

This whole is already tied for the bottom in any recreation since 2012, so oddsmakers will doubtless wait till nearer to kickoff earlier than transferring this too low and welcoming computerized over bets from sharps. But I’d nonetheless count on a large quantity to return in on the underneath, which is 5-0 in video games with a complete of 37 or much less during the last three seasons.

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