The Giants have gone in a heartbeat from the precipice of first place within the NFC East to a doomsday state of affairs as they head right down to Large D (dwelling of the legendary Doomsday Protection of the Seventies) to tackle the Cowboys on Thanksgiving.
It’s not simply that the Giants misplaced to the Lions, and even the noncompetitive closing rating of 31-18. And it’s not solely that Large Blue suffered one other sequence of accidents to Wan’Dale Robinson, Adoree’ Jackson, and Fabian Moreau. Detroit is a viable opponent that now has gained three in a row, and Brian Daboll and his workers have next-man-upped the Giants via a minefield of accidents to their 7-3 mark.
The issue is the mix of the timing of the loss and the buildup of accidents. The Giants are touring on a brief week for this one, and as colleague Paul Schwartz identified in Tuesday’s Submit, they now should face the likes of CeeDee Lamb, Terry McLaurin, and A.J. Brown over the following month because the schedule will get loaded with division video games at exactly the mistaken time.
The Cowboys are available in off a 40-3 trouncing of the-then 8-1 Vikings in Minnesota. The Giants will want a secondary to cease them, or at the least a receiving corps to maintain up with them. The Giants have neither proper now. This might get ugly.
Giants vs. Cowboys decide
Cowboys -9 (BetMGM)
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Buffalo Payments (-9.5) over DETROIT LIONS
Little shocked the Payments selected to return to Snowpocalypse Buffalo relatively than follow in Detroit for the brief time between video games at Ford Discipline. Doubt it will likely be an excessive amount of of a distraction or vitality sap, although. Giants couldn’t make the most of the Lions’ Thirty second-ranked protection, however Buffalo’s second-ranked offense can. CB Jeff Okudah (concussion) could be an enormous loss for Detroit.
New England Patriots (+3) over MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Patriots gained’t match the 40 factors the Cowboys scored on the Vikings, however there’s an opportunity Invoice Belichick’s protection may maintain them to 3 or another low quantity. Each groups have key accidents on the offensive line. Listed here are two angles which may matter: Belichick makes mince meat of first-year coaches, and that is Kevin O’Connell’s first expertise teaching on a brief week.
Sunday
NEW YORK JETS (-4.5) over Chicago Bears
Robert Saleh made the proper resolution in benching Zach Wilson. Now the entire gamers can return their focus to what they should do to attempt to produce victories relatively than fear about what Wilson does and says. Additionally, hold your eye on the Justin Fields harm report. If he has to sit down together with his non-throwing-shoulder harm, the Jets’ protection ought to rule the day. And if the Jets get sufficient wholesome offensive linemen again to at the least ship Dan Feeney again to the bench, that can revive the working sport and make life simpler for White.
Baltimore Ravens (-4) over JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
C Jackson Cowart of Motion Community identified in Tuesday’s Submit that the Ravens are the sixth crew in NFL historical past to have led by 10 or extra factors in every of their first 10 video games. They’ve misplaced three of these video games, however I like their probabilities to cowl this modest quantity in the event that they get double-digit separation towards the Jaguars.
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CAROLINA PANTHERS (+2.5) over Denver Broncos
Figuring I’ll take a shot with the house undercat Panthers right here. Each groups are fairly terrible, however at the least Carolina has coated in 4 of its final 5 video games, whereas Denver is 3-7 ATS and makes the lengthy journey for an early-body-clock sport.
WASHINGTON COMMANDERS (-4.5) over Atlanta Falcons
Seems like one other good matchup for the Commanders, whose rugged assault may break the need of a Falcons D that ranks thirtieth in yardage and twenty seventh in factors allowed. Atlanta TE Kyle Pitts (knee) is completed for the season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5) over CLEVELAND BROWNS
The Browns wilted after a powerful begin vs. the Payments in Detroit. They nonetheless have another week earlier than DeShaun Watson can play, which doesn’t present a lot incentive. The Bucs have began to make their run with two consecutive wins and are the healthiest they've been.
Cincinnati Bengals (-1.5) over TENNESSEE TITANS
Unfold is negligible, though it would insult the Titans a bit to be dwelling underdogs. The NFL is working out of pink ink to mark up Tennessee’s harm report, whereas I anticipate Joe Burrow to perk up with the return of Ja’Marr Chase.
MIAMI DOLPHINS (-12.5) over Houston Texans
Lovie Smith isn’t providing a lot hope as he contemplates changing Davis Mills with Kyle Allen. It’s an enormous unfold, but when the Dolphins begin pulling away, will the 1-8-1 Texans hold battling on within the 80-degree south Florida warmth?
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-3.5) over Las Vegas Raiders
The Raiders received the higher of Russell Wilson final week in a lackluster train in Denver, however it will likely be a a lot harder process towards Geno Smith & Co. within the Pacific Northwest. The Seahawks are wholesome and are coming off a bye whereas the Raiders play their fourth street sport within the final 5 weeks.
Los Angeles Chargers (-4.5) over ARIZONA CARDINALS
It’s too early within the week to know for certain if Kyler Murray is coming again for Arizona. Even so, the 49ers destroyed the Cardinals’ protection on Monday evening and I feel the Chargers can do a whole lot of the identical issues, if not in fairly the identical method.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-14.5) over Los Angeles Rams
I don’t often give greater than two touchdowns to the defending Tremendous Bowl champs, however once I do, it’s now. If Matthew Stafford is out with a concussion, the Rams nearly don't have any offense left in any respect. Do you need to sit there for 3 hours hoping Travis Kelce will get uninterested in scoring?
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (-9.5) over New Orleans Saints
Whereas I respect the Saints, significantly at this excessive quantity, they're nonetheless lacking 4 defensive starters together with Marcus Davenport and Marshon Lattimore, and the 49ers’ numerous offense is beginning to percolate. Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle and Deebo Samuel are a three-headed nightmare.
Inexperienced Bay Packers (+7) over PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
Philly is on an 0-3 ATS skid and has didn't cowl in 4 of its wins this season. TE Dallas Goedert is missed. Aaron Rodgers is creating Christian Watson right into a weapon, which may assist the Packers see some higher days earlier than this season’s over.
Monday
Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5) over INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
Steelers are one of many healthiest groups within the league at this level and can profit from a second sport with T.J. Watt and Minkah Fitzpatrick taking part in collectively on protection. I just like the considered Mike Tomlin as an underdog in prime time towards a man teaching his third sport.
Finest bets: Buccaneers, Ravens, Steelers.
Lock of the week: Buccaneers (Locks 7-4 in 2022).
Final week: 7-6-1 general, 2-0-1 Finest Bets.
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