Our NFL betting author brings you his greatest Chargers vs. Chiefs predictions and picks for his or her NFL week 11 showdown, which is dwell Sunday on NBC at 8:20 p.m. ET.
The Chiefs intention to increase a three-game successful streak once they go to the Chargers in a primetime star-studded matchup that includes All-Professional candidates in Kansas Metropolis quarterback and LA operating again Austin Ekeler.
Chiefs vs. Chargers picks
- Chargers to cowl (+6.0) at -110 at Caesars Sportsbook
- Underneath 51 factors at -110 at Caesars Sportsbook
- Chiefs to punt on first drive at +113 at Caesars Sportsbook
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Chiefs vs. Chargers predictions and evaluation
Kansas Metropolis is within the driver’s seat to win the AFC West once more. Profitable this sport in Los Angeles may go a good distance in serving to the Chiefs clinch the division title. In the meantime, the Chargers are in second place within the division and will use a win to bolster their hopes of constructing the playoffs.
The Chiefs will, after all, lean on the playmaking skills of Mahomes, who leads the NFL in passing yards and touchdowns this season. The Chargers’ offense has been powered by Ekeler, who has 10 touchdowns from scrimmage this season, which is second-best within the NFL.
Charging +6
As beforehand acknowledged, the Chargers must win this sport greater than the Chiefs do in the event that they need to go to the playoffs. A loss would drop Los Angeles to 5-5 and them in a blender with two different five-win groups – the Patriots and Bengals – on the backside of the Wild Card race.
The final time the Chargers and Chiefs performed, Los Angeles led for 3 quarters, then misplaced it on a pick-six and a pair of Matt Ammendola discipline targets within the fourth quarter. Nonetheless, the Chiefs solely received by three factors. In actual fact, 4 of the final 5 conferences between the Chiefs and Chargers have been determined by six factors or much less.
Los Angeles additionally has a successful document in opposition to the unfold this season, going 6-3.
Moreover, search for the Chargers to get Ekeler closely concerned this week after he had simply six carries final week of their loss to the 49ers. Los Angeles is 5-1 this season when Ekeler has greater than 10 carries.
Choose: Chargers to cowl (+6.0) at -110 at Caesars Sportsbook
Underneath 51 factors
The over-under on this sport is ready at 51 factors. Regardless of the Chiefs having the highest-scoring offense within the league, they haven’t mixed with an opponent to attain that a lot lately.
Kansas Metropolis’s last scores have gone over 51 factors simply as soon as within the Chiefs’ final 4 contests. The identical is true for the Chargers; simply as soon as in Los Angeles’ final 4 video games, the ultimate rating completed above 51 factors.
And the final time the Chiefs and Chargers performed – in Week 2 in Kansas Metropolis – the rating completed 27-24, precisely 51 factors. With each groups battling accidents to key offensive playmakers, anticipate this sport to complete underneath what the Vegas bookmakers assume.
Choose: Underneath 51 factors at -110 at Caesars Sportsbook
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Chiefs to placed on first drive +113
Caesars has a prop this week for the end result of the Chiefs’ first drive: +113 they punt, +200 they rating a landing, +400 for a discipline objective try, and +575 for a turnover.
Bettors ought to rule out the choice to attain a landing. The Chiefs haven’t discovered the endzone on a gap drive since their Oct. 2 win in Tampa Bay. And up to date historical past tells us they most likely received’t kick a discipline objective both – the Chiefs have tried a discipline objective on a gap drive simply as soon as this season.
The Chiefs have turned the ball over on their opening drives in three of their final 4 video games, fumbling as soon as and throwing two interceptions. However Los Angeles doesn’t precisely have an opportunistic protection, tallying a middling 12 takeaways this season – which rank simply 17th within the league.
So, that leaves us with the punt. And that’s what the Chiefs did on their opening drive in opposition to the Chargers in Week Two.
Choose: Chiefs to punt on first drive at +113 at Caesars Sportsbook
Chiefs vs. Chargers odds
Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Appropriate at time of publishing and topic to alter.
| Group | Unfold | Moneyline | Complete Factors 51.0 |
| Chiefs | (-6.0) -110 | -260 | Over -110 |
| Chargers | (+6.0) -110 | +210 | Underneath -110 |
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