The Colts and Steelers each entered this season with excessive hopes behind new quarterbacks and seemingly high-end defenses. Twelve weeks into the season, these plans have been principally derailed, although either side hopes that a huge sport from its key skill-position stars might help flip their season round.
Listed here are three of our favourite prop bets to focus on on BetMGM forward of “Monday Evening Soccer”:
Colts vs. Steelers picks
Jonathan Taylor longest rush over 17.5 yards (-110)
A 12 months after main the NFL in dashing yards, Taylor has slogged by way of a irritating season mired by accidents and a revolving door at quarterback. But he’s beginning to appear to be his outdated self once more — and that features a burst unmatched by nearly any again within the league.
He confirmed it off final week, scampering for a 28-yard achieve on his second carry of the sport in a near-win over the Eagles. That’s been a pattern as of late: Taylor has registered not less than one rush of 25 yards in every of his final three video games after ending with out one in his earlier 5 video games.
That is the again we’ve come to anticipate, as Taylor completed with not less than one carry of 19-plus yards in 12 of 17 video games final 12 months, together with every of his final 4 video games of the season. With the way in which this dashing offense has appeared since interim coach Jeff Saturday took over, I’d anticipate not less than one sizable achieve from Taylor on this one.
Najee Harris below 62.5 dashing yards (-115)
Very like Taylor, Harris has appeared like a distinct again during the last two weeks, dashing for 90-plus yards for the primary two instances all season. But I’m skeptical of him preserving that stepping into a troublesome matchup towards this Colts protection.
For one, these outputs got here with a big improve in quantity. Harris noticed a season-high 20 carries in each video games — one in a stunning win over the Saints and once more final week towards the Bengals, when he noticed all however six snaps. That’s out of the norm for Harris, who hasn’t seen greater than 80 p.c of his staff’s snaps all 12 months.
That was precipitated by an harm to Jaylen Warren, who can also be dominated out for Monday’s contest, however I’d anticipate the Steelers to combine different choices greater than they did on quick discover final week. That might put Harris in a troublesome spot to surpass a complete he’s reached simply 4 instances all 12 months, particularly towards an Indy protection permitting the NFL’s second-fewest yards per carry (3.8).
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Parris Campbell over 43.5 receiving yards (-115)
This prop is being suppressed by Campbell’s season common of 40 receiving yards per sport, however that doesn’t inform the entire story for the fourth-year speedster, who has rapidly change into a favourite goal for beginning quarterback Matt Ryan.
Campbell was on the verge of a breakout earlier this 12 months, when he noticed a mixed 23 targets in Ryan’s remaining two video games earlier than dropping his beginning job. Campbell’s numbers dipped below sophomore passer Sam Ehlinger earlier than instantly leaping once more in Ryan’s return during the last two weeks.
All informed, Campbell has completed with not less than 5 catches and 57 yards receiving in every of Ryan’s final 4 begins, main the staff in receiving yards in two of these 4 contests and ending 8 yards shy final week. The previous second-round decide is lastly rounding into kind with Ryan on the helm, and oddsmakers are sluggish to catch on.
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