There's nothing mistaken with “fantastic.” It's leaps and bounds past “dangerous,” a step or two higher than “blah,” although not fairly worthy of a raised eyebrow and yards away from an audible “wow.”
Assume: Burger and fries for dinner is “fantastic.” A forecast of principally cloudy and 70 levels is “fantastic.” A operating again who tops 100 yards in a recreation, that’s “fantastic.” One who scores a landing? That’s “fantastic,” too.
Do them each, you then begin stepping into eyebrow-raising territory. And the perfect avenue to realize one thing past the bounds of fantastic is thru quantity. In spite of everything, the extra probabilities you get for achievement, the higher your probabilities to realize success. That is the place information and customary sense intersect.
At this intersection, we see a brand new automobile which may lastly be getting a fantasy inexperienced gentle. Fantasy managers have the tires spinning on Broncos operating again Latavius Murray, able to flooring it with him of their lineups the remainder of the way in which within the drag race to the end.
There's purpose to place the pedal to the metallic on Murray. Denver did launch Melvin Gordon this week. That clears the decks for Murray, presumably, to take the lead function within the Broncos’ backfield the remainder of the way in which.
However earlier than we hit the gasoline, let’s pump the brakes for a second. The Broncos rank twenty sixth within the league in dashing yards this season, twenty ninth in dashing TDs and twenty seventh in yards per carry.
There isn't any purpose to consider Murray will ship a lift in effectivity, since he has been part of the committee posting the paltry numbers. However, and right here is the factor fantasy managers love, these are mixed numbers Now, if all that manufacturing goes primarily to at least one RB, then that participant turns into a worthy fantasy asset regardless of the gross lack of effectivity, based mostly on sheer quantity.
For instance, if Murray alone had been to have posted the identical numbers alone because the Denver RB committee has all through this season, he would rank as RB17 — between Travis Etienne Jr. and Dameon Pierce. And for many fantasy managers, that may be “fantastic.”
Couple of variables to think about although: 1. That tough projection doesn't embrace any receiving manufacturing. So Murray, who's coping with a wrist situation that's not thought-about critical, may get a small increase due to a restricted function within the passing recreation. However earlier than you rev up Murray an excessive amount of, keep in mind … 2. No RB will get all of the backfield manufacturing for any group. There's all the time a point of break up. And contemplating how a lot dedication the Broncos have proven to a shared backfield, we count on to see extra Marlon Mack than anybody cares to see over the following few weeks — a minimum of till/if Chase Edmonds or Mike Boone returns.
Thus, we don’t suppose Murray goes to be a season-saver. However we definitely like him in opposition to a nasty Panthers run protection this week, and for the remainder of the way in which, he’ll be simply fantastic.
Massive weeks
Geno Smith QB, Seahawks, vs. Raiders ($FanDuel $7,600/DraftKings $6,000)
Apprehensive about Justin Fields’ shoulder? Lack confidence in Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers? If in case you have stashed Smith, it is a good week to make use of him. Each QB has registered a minimum of one TD vs. Vegas aside from Russell Wilson.
Rachaad White RB, Buccaneers, at Browns (FD $6,400/DK $5,100)
He was stealing extra carries even earlier than Leonard Fournette’s hip situation. The Browns have yielded two operating again TDs in 5 of their previous seven video games.
Garrett Wilson WR, Jets, vs. Bears ($FD $6,000/DK $4,300)
Gonna roll the cube Zach Wilson was Garrett’s downside. He matches up properly individually in opposition to the Bears’ secondary, in accordance with Professional Soccer Focus.
Tyler Higbee TE, LAR, at Chiefs (FD $5,700/DK $4,200)
QB Matthew Stafford is out. Much less skilled QBs usually lean on tight ends, whether or not Stafford’s substitute is John Wolford or Bryce Perkins (Higbee went 8-for-73 with Wolford in Week 10). If Higbee’s knee situation will get in the way in which, Brycen Hopkins turns into a DFS dart throw.
Small weaks
Alvin Kamara RB, Saints, at 49ers (FD $7,100/DK $7,300)
Has been coping with an sickness this week, main as much as stiff matchup vs. the Niners. Mark Ingram prone to return, so Kamara workload may very well be restricted even when he performs.
Christian Watson WR, Packers, at Eagles (FD $6,500/DK $5,000)
With 5 TDs up to now two video games, he's going to get defensive consideration. The Eagles’ secondary has allowed one TD to a large receiver up to now 4 video games.
Diontae Johnson WR, Steelers, at Colts (FD $6,100/DK $5,200)
Not the week to provide D.J. one other probability. The Colts are the league’s hardest vs. fantasy WRs — permitting simply 4 TDs to the place since Week 3 and seven.1 PPR factors fewer per week than the league common.
George Kittle TE, 49ers, vs. Saints (FD $6,200/DK $5,300)
You'll be able to’t sit him in seasonal leagues, so that is solely for DFS functions: The Saints have yielded precisely one TD to a decent finish all season. Even at comparatively cut price DFS costs, not value it.
Madness’s Day by day Duel
Drew Loftis and Jarad Wilk submit dueling rosters right into a DFS contest:
Website: FanDuel
Slate: Solar. predominant (11 video games)
Sort: $5 tourney
High prize: $250K
Pot: $1M
Drew’s Crew
QB — Geno Smith (Sea, vs. LV) $7,600
RB — Austin Ekeler (LAC, at Ari) 8,800
RB — Josh Jacobs (LV, at Sea) $8,700
WR — Keenan Allen (LAC, at Ari) $7,300
WR — Garrett Wilson (NYJ, vs. Chi) 6,000WR — Marvin Jones Jr. (Jac, vs. Bal) $5,400
TE — Hayden Hurst (Cin, at Ten) 5,100
Flex — Rachaad White (TB, at Cle) $6,400
DEF — 49ers (SF, vs. NO) $4,700
Wilk’s Warriors
QB — Geno Smith (Sea, vs. LV) $7,600
RB — Jeff Wilson (Mia, vs. Hou) $7,700
RB — Latavius Murray (Den, at Automobile) $6,200
WR — Garrett Wilson (NYJ, vs. Chi) $6,000
WR — Terry McLaurin (Was, vs. Atl) 7,500
WR — Olamide Zaccheaus (Atl, at Was) $5,300
TE — Mark Andrews (Bal, at Jax) $7,300
Flex — Kenneth Walker III (Sea, vs. LV) $8,400
DEF — Broncos (Den, at Automobile) $3,900
For late roster probabilities, comply with @NYPost_Loftis and @NYPost_Roto on Twitter
Season risked: $81
Season winnings: Jarad $40, Drew $0
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