Giants’ tie, tough schedule won’t make it easy to reach playoffs

You didn't have heat and fuzzy emotions about that recreation?

You listened to the Giants and Commanders categorical how a lot their 20-20 tie made them really feel like that they had misplaced. Neither group was proud of it.

Effectively, somebody appreciated what went down, which is why the NFL flexed the Week 15 rematch at FedEx Area to “Sunday Night time Soccer,” exposing a nationwide tv viewers to what's shaping as much as be a playoff play-in recreation.

The percentages are excessive that the Giants lose to the Eagles on Sunday and fall to 7-5-1. The Commanders will certainly be 7-5-1 once they subsequent take the sector, as they're on their bye week. The percentages are excessive that both the Giants or Commanders, however not each, will make it into the playoffs. So, primarily, the primary tie recreation for the Giants in 25 years was not useful, so far as their standing within the NFC, however the second assembly with the Commanders was at all times going to be the one which held the best significance.

“I’m undecided,” security Julian Love mentioned on Monday when requested how the tie impacts the playoff chase. “Often I’m fairly analytical and type of perceive all that stuff however I’m not absolutely certain of the total breakdown of those final 5 video games. I simply know there’s some wins on the market we'd like.”

Giants
Daniel Jones and the Giants nonetheless have lots of profitable to do to make the playoffs.
Invoice Kostroun

Of that there is no such thing as a doubt.

In accordance with FiveThirtyEight, the Giants at current have a 50 % likelihood to make the playoffs. If they're able to upset the 11-1 Eagles, that proportion rises to 76 %. In the event that they lose to the Eagles, the share drops solely to 41 %. If the Giants lose to the Eagles after which beat the Commanders within the rematch in two weeks, the Giants’ likelihood to make the playoffs is 62 %.

If you wish to go loopy right here, if the Giants beat the Eagles and Commanders within the subsequent two video games, their probabilities of making the playoffs inflate to 99 %. In the event that they lose to the Eagles and Commanders, their possibilities plummet to 19 %.

The tie was unhealthy however not horrible. The Giants have one other shot on the Commanders and they also management that state of affairs. The tie was dangerous to the Giants relating to their placement within the NFC alongside the Seahawks. At current, the Giants are the No. 6 seed and the Seahawks (7-5) are No. 7. The Giants misplaced in Seattle 27-13 and so they don't personal the head-to-head tiebreaker with the Seahawks. After all, the tie recreation makes it unlikely tie-breakers will come into play, until there's one other tie recreation within the convention involving groups preventing for postseason berths. The Giants additionally misplaced to the Lions (5-7), however coach Dan Campbell’s group has a substantial amount of profitable to do to enter into the image.

In accordance with FiveThirtyEight, the Seahawks have a 79 % likelihood to make the playoffs. The Commanders are at 69 % and the Lions are at 8 %.

What complicates the following 5 weeks is that 4 of the following 5 video games are towards groups both nearly assured of a playoff spot (Eagles twice and Vikings) or towards a group in a dogfight to get in (Commanders). The one recreation towards a non-contender is available in Week 17, when the Colts play at MetLife Stadium. Judging from the best way the Colts fell aside of their 54-19 tank job to the Cowboys — it's not straightforward to surrender 33 factors in a fourth quarter, however the Colts did it — this needs to be the one delicate contact for the Giants.

That the Giants have two video games remaining with the Eagles, the group with one of the best report within the NFL, is the rationale why the Giants personal the second most-difficult remaining schedule within the league, behind solely the Bears. The one doable break for the Giants is that if their Week 18 recreation in Philadelphia means nothing to the Eagles — it's possible they may have clinched the No. 1 seed within the NFC earlier than then — and coach Nick Sirianni decides to relaxation a number of of his key gamers for the postseason.

“You simply bought to get able to play the following week and the following group,” coach Brian Daboll mentioned. “For us, it’s one of the best group within the NFL proper now; one loss. They misplaced to Washington. They've a star-studded roster. I believe [Philadelphia Eagles general manager] Howie [Roseman] has carried out an ideal job of placing collectively a bunch of expertise there on that group. [Quarterback] Jalen [Hurts] is taking part in phenomenal. These receivers, they’re distinctive, O-line, line of defense, corners. They’ve bought a star-studded forged.

Giants
Isaiah Hodgins reacts to a primary down catch towards the Commanders.
USA TODAY Sports activities

“So, our focus might be on Philadelphia, once more towards a group that’s just about run by way of everyone. And I believe that’s a lot for us to give attention to.”

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