We’ve made a behavior of betting on staff totals just lately, because it’s typically one of the simplest ways to isolate worth inside an in any other case messy menu. And we love the worth on the Iowa protection on Saturday towards a Minnesota assault that possible gained’t be at full power.
Getting into the weekend, the Hawkeyes rank sixth in factors allowed to FBS groups (15.1), which doesn’t even inform the entire story. If not for a 54-10 loss to Ohio State in Week 8, they might be permitting simply 9.4 factors per sport, which might be by far the bottom mark within the nation.
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It’s much more spectacular on a game-by-game foundation. Iowa has allowed fewer than 14 factors in eight of its 10 video games, together with every of its final three since that loss to Ohio State, and it has held its final two opponents to their worst scoring output all season.
Minnesota’s offense might undergo an analogous destiny on Saturday, with quarterback Tanner Morgan (higher physique) anticipated to overlook a second straight contest. The Golden Gophers threw for simply 64 yards in his absence final week, however survived anyway by working throughout a Northwestern protection that ranks among the many worst in all of school soccer.
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That’ll be a a lot more durable activity this week towards Iowa, which ranks seventh nationally in dashing yards allowed per sport (94.8) and second in yards allowed per rush (2.7). It is a nightmare matchup for Minnesota’s offense, particularly with out Morgan, which ought to result in one of many quietest days from this unit all yr lengthy.
Minnesota vs. Iowa prediction: Minnesota beneath 14.5 factors
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