NBA predictions, picks Wednesday: Why you should still fade the Nets in Toronto

We lastly broke by with our NBA picks towards the unfold earlier this week, cashing on straightforward wins by the Cavaliers and Pelicans whereas falling brief with the Jazz as brief street underdogs towards the unpredictable Clippers.

Will favorites have the identical success once more on Wednesday? Eight of the 11 hosts are favored at BetMGM, and we’ve acquired our eye on a trio of residence favorites in enviable spots for bettors.

Right here’s a take a look at which groups we’re betting on Wednesday evening:


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NBA Wednesday odds, picks (through BetMGM)

  • Celtics -4.5 vs. Mavericks
  • Raptors -1.5 vs. Nets
  • Bucks -7.5 vs. Bucks
Jayson Tatum #0 of the Boston Celtics is fouled by Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks
Jayson Tatum #0 of the Boston Celtics is fouled by Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks
MediaNews Group through Getty Photographs

Celtics vs. Mavericks prediction and evaluation

This is a perfect buy-low spot on the Celtics, who shocked many throughout the league with Monday’s 14-point loss to the Bulls to shut a three-game street journey. Even with that end result, this line is a bit dismissive of simply how dominant this staff has been.

Previous to Monday’s loss, Boston had gained 9 in a row and outscored opponents by 11.4 factors per recreation over that stretch. That’s no fluke: the C’s rank third in internet ranking (+6.5) throughout your entire marketing campaign and have gained by 5 or extra factors in 10 of 17 video games this season.

The Mavericks have proven flashes of long-term upside with Luka Doncic rounding into MVP kind, however they’ve additionally misplaced to the Rockets and Nikola Jokic-less Nuggets inside the final week – dragging their document to an NBA-worst 4-11-1 ATS. This isn’t the spot to anticipate that to vary towards one of many league’s greatest.

Celtics vs. Mavericks choose

Celtics -4.5 (BetMGM)

Raptors vs. Nets prediction and evaluation

This isn’t as a lot about Brooklyn’s embarrassing loss on Tuesday to a Sixers staff lacking its prime three scorers, although that alone is sufficient to warrant concern right here. Slightly, this merely a brutal spot for the Nets in a season that’s hardly ever gone their method.

It’s laborious sufficient to win in Toronto, the place the Raptors personal a stellar 5-2 ATS residence document this yr – tied for the third-best mark within the NBA – and have outscored groups by 6.4 factors per recreation in these video games. It’s even tougher to do it on the second evening of a back-to-back, a one-day worldwide journey that the NBA tends to restrict to roughly 10 occasions per yr, on common.

As you may think about, it typically doesn’t go effectively. Groups in that spot are 14-21-1 ATS (40%) over the past 5 seasons, and the Nets are the primary such staff to face that state of affairs this yr. Good luck with that one.

Raptors vs. Nets choose

Raptors -1.5 (Caesars)

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Giannis Antetokounmpo
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Getty Photographs

Bucks vs. Bulls prediction and evaluation

Few groups have dominated a sequence fairly just like the Bucks have towards the Bulls, who've struggled to maintain tempo when these groups face off.

Since Giannis Antetokounmpo’s first All-Star marketing campaign in 2016-17, Milwaukee is 18-10 ATS towards its division rival with a stellar 23-5 document straight up. It’s not like these video games have been significantly shut: the Bucks have outscored Chicago by 11.5 factors on common, with over half of these 28 video games determined by 13 or extra factors of their favor.

That features three straight wins by 16-plus factors on this sequence courting again to final season when the Bulls have been truly among the many NBA’s greatest groups for a lot of the yr. That hasn’t been the case this season, and I don’t see their fortune altering on this matchup, both.

Bucks vs. Bulls choose

Bucks -7.5 (FanDuel)

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