The Rams and Raiders each entered 2022 with excessive hopes for a possible playoff run or, in Los Angeles’ case, a possible journey again to the Tremendous Bowl. These plans have comically failed by means of the primary 13 weeks, organising what oddsmakers count on to be a blowout.
The Raiders are dealing as 6.5-point favorites at BetMGM as of Thursday, a product of constant and overwhelming motion on the street chalk. Are we certain they’re well worth the value, although, after shedding over half of their video games up to now?
Right here’s how we’re betting Thursday night time’s contest, which kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.
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Rams vs. Raiders odds (through BetMGM)
- Raiders -6.5 (-115), moneyline -275
- Rams +6.5 (-105), moneyline +220
- O/U 43.5 (-110)
Rams vs. Raiders prediction and evaluation
In quintessential Thursday night time trend, the most important query about this sport isn’t which of those groups is the higher guess. It’s whether or not both is a worthwhile guess in any respect.
Certain, the Rams are a catastrophe. Beginning quarterback Matthew Stafford (neck) is probably going out for the season; prime receivers Cooper Kupp (ankle) and Allen Robinson (foot) are out, too; and Aaron Donald (ankle), the fulcrum of this protection, may even watch from the sidelines. That’s numerous firepower lacking for one of many worst defending champions in NFL historical past.
And but, I can’t convey myself to put the factors on the Raiders. It’s typically a nasty concept to pay such a steep value on a street favourite that hasn’t established itself as probably the greatest groups within the league. Las Vegas definitely isn’t that, rating twenty third in DVOA – simply 4 spots forward of Los Angeles – with a adverse scoring differential (-4) by means of 13 weeks.
Right here’s what we do know: this Rams offense is in bother for all the explanations talked about earlier than. The reigning champs might be with out nearly 50% of their manufacturing this 12 months from a unit that already ranked twenty ninth in scoring offense (16.8 PPG) and thirty first in whole offense (283.1 YPG), and it’s anybody’s guess who will begin at quarterback after the workforce claimed Baker Mayfield earlier this week.
As of Thursday morning, there was nonetheless an opportunity he would possibly begin just some days’ turnaround. Even when he doesn’t, simply the truth that the Rams claimed Mayfield – who ranked useless final in QBR (18.3) earlier than the Panthers lower him – speaks volumes about how they really feel about their different choices: Brycen Perkins threw two interceptions in his lone begin and was changed by John Wolford, who promptly threw two picks in his final begin, too.
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Los Angeles’ protection has been unhealthy sufficient that I’m nervous about betting the outright sport underneath right here, particularly with Donald out, however I simply don’t have faith on this workforce’s offense on brief relaxation with a type of three underneath heart. The Rams have scored 17 or fewer factors in 4 of their final six video games, together with two of three with out Stafford, and there’s simply an excessive amount of harm and ineptitude to count on a greater displaying right here.
Rams vs. Raiders decide
- Rams workforce whole underneath 19.5 (-135 BetMGM)
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