One of the best time of the school soccer season — and possibly the complete sports activities calendar — is lastly upon us, with bowl season kicking off in paradise with the Bahamas Bowl on Friday.
That’s one in every of simply 42 bowl video games scheduled throughout the nationwide championship in early January, with at the very least one bowl sport each non-Sunday by the remainder of December.
That’s a dizzying quantity of soccer to guess on between groups that usually have little historical past between them. Worry not, as we’ve acquired you lined with 5 key tricks to take into account earlier than putting your bets this bowl season:
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School Soccer Bowl Video games key stats and betting ideas
Motivation issues
That is powerful to handicap, however it’s pretty straightforward to see with the bare eye: Some groups simply don’t need to be there.
Bowl season has clearly misplaced its pageantry over time with the appearance of the playoff and commercialization of the game, which signifies that a visit to the Rose Bowl, Sugar Bowl, or Well-known Idaho Potato Bowl simply doesn’t imply what it used to. That leaves a lot of the motivation to those faculties and gamers to set their very own objectives and ambitions.
Traditionally, groups coming off a horrible season (0-3 wins) have carried out significantly better in bowl season than, say, a playoff contender that acquired tripped up late within the 12 months. That makes groups like Kansas and Connecticut attention-grabbing performs this bowl season, whereas playoff hopefuls USC and Alabama might have a more durable time getting up for an exhibition.
Coaches reign supreme
Head coaches have already got an outsized impression on school soccer in nearly each manner, and bowl season is not any exception: Some coaches shine in these moments, whereas others merely don’t.
The present poster baby of bowl success is Kyle Whittingham, who has guided Utah to a 12-1 file straight up and a 10-3 file towards the unfold in bowl season throughout his 22 seasons on the helm. And what about Georgia coach Kirby Good (6-2 ATS), whose postseason success stands in stark distinction to that of opposing coach Ryan Day (1-3 ATS) in his time at Ohio State?
Know your personnel
With motivation dwindling like an unguarded flame, we’ve seen a rash of gamers sit out bowl season in recent times, which regularly means a crew incomes a spot in a marquee matchup with out the gamers that acquired it there.
The newest high-profile instance was Pittsburgh quarterback Kenny Pickett bowing out of final 12 months’s Peach Bowl, which noticed his crew rating a season-low 21 factors after averaging 43 factors within the common season. We’ll see it once more this 12 months with NFL hopefuls and switch candidates alike sitting out their crew’s exhibition finale, so be sure you verify the newest information on who’s truly suiting up earlier than putting your wagers.’
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Examine teaching carousel
Similar to gamers sitting out, coaches usually take new jobs forward of bowl season, which might considerably have an effect on a crew’s preparedness or their adherence to what acquired them to bowl season within the first place. That extends all the way in which down the teaching workers, too, with coordinators as prone to skip city as head coaches.
Think about how which may have an effect on a matchup just like the one within the Vacation Bowl, which profiles as an Over-bettor’s dream with high-flying Oregon and North Carolina squaring off. With each offensive coordinators already dedicated to new jobs in 2023, although, the Underneath could be price a re-assessment.
Beware the underdog
Underdogs have been money cows in bowl season for years now, irrespective of the way you slice it. Since 2005, they’ve lined 51 % of the time and gained outright a ridiculous 36 % of the time — a lot larger than the roughly 25 % win fee in the course of the common season.
Double-digit ’canine have been even higher, netting near a 40 % ROI over the previous couple of a long time. We’ll see that pattern play out immediately with Friday’s bowl season kickoff, which sees Miami (Ohio) as a large underdog versus UAB regardless of each groups limping to a 6-6 file to punch their ticket into the postseason parade.
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