Browns vs. Ravens predictions: Why Baltimore is better off Lamar Jackson-less

Our NFL betting author brings you his finest Ravens vs. Browns predictions and picks for his or her NFL Week 15 assembly, which is stay Saturday at 4:30 p.m. on NFL Community.

And not using a particular reply at beginning quarterback, the Baltimore Ravens go to an AFC North rival for the second straight week after they meet the Cleveland Browns as a part of Saturday’s NFL triple-header at 4:30 p.m. ET on NFL Community.

Browns vs. Ravens picks


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Browns vs. Ravens predictions and evaluation

The Ravens (9-4) overcame quarterback well being points to beat the Pittsburgh Steelers 16-14 final week to stay tied with Cincinnati for the AFC North lead. Tyler Huntley began instead of Lamar Jackson (knee) however took a jarring hit to the top and left the sport as a consequence of concussion protocol. Rookie Anthony Brown completed the job. However Huntley was a full participant in follow Wednesday and is trending towards taking part in towards the Browns (whereas Jackson just isn't).

Cleveland (5-8) might be determined for a win to stay barely afloat within the AFC playoff race. The Browns had received consecutive video games for the primary time all season after they beat Tampa Bay and Houston, however that streak ended with a 23-10 loss to the Bengals, Joe Burrow’s first time beating Cleveland. Deshaun Watson improved barely in his second sport again from an 11-game suspension for sexual misconduct lawsuits. However will or not it's too little, too late for the Browns within the greater image?

Deshaun Watson of the Cleveland Browns
Deshaun Watson of the Cleveland Browns
Getty Photos

Ravens moneyline

It may be exhausting to belief the Ravens this season. Although 9-4, they’re solely 5-7-1 towards the unfold. All 4 of their losses have come from blowing second-half leads towards the Dolphins, Payments, Giants and Jaguars.

However we have to put these issues apart and imagine within the Ravens this week for a number of causes, beginning with the truth that this collection has been traditionally lopsided — Baltimore has received 24 of the previous 29 conferences, together with 5 of the previous six.

Irrespective of if it’s Huntley or Brown at quarterback, the Ravens’ id is a robust protection and reliance on the run sport. They beat the Browns 23-20 earlier this season with 160 dashing yards and simply 94 passing yards; Huntley and Brown solely needed to mix for 94 passing yards final week towards Pittsburgh as a result of the Ravens gained 215 yards on 42 carries.

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The Browns rank roughly within the backside third of the league in dashing protection (128.1 ypg allowed) and have a number of linebackers injured, most not too long ago Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, who was positioned on IR. On high of that, protection travels. The Ravens have yielded lower than 10 factors per sport over their previous 4 victories.

The road is the best way it's almost certainly as a consequence of Jackson’s and Huntley’s accidents. Get the Ravens at this quantity when you can; they’re clearly the higher group.

Browns vs. Ravens decide: Ravens cash line @ +135 with Caesars Sportsbook

Below 37 complete factors

The Ravens have hit the over simply 4 occasions in 13 video games. It positive helps to have a protection that yields simply 19.2 factors per sport (eighth within the NFL) and 81.2 yards per sport (second).

The Browns’ run sport struggled final week, gaining simply 71 yards towards the Bengals, and Baltimore has held the Browns to 84.3 dashing yards on common over their previous three conferences.

The Ravens’ acquisition of linebacker Roquan Smith has actually bolstered the protection towards each the run and the cross.

Roquan Smith of the Ravens
Roquan Smith of the Ravens
Getty Photos

And whereas the Browns are 7-5-1 within the O/U class this 12 months, the beneath has hit in every of their previous three video games. The transition to Watson at quarterback has include rising pains.

Browns vs. Ravens decide: Below 37 factors scored @ -110 with Caesars Sportsbook

Deshaun Watson to throw over 0.5 interceptions

Steelers quarterback Kenny Pickett exited Sunday’s sport early with a concussion, and Mitch Trubisky took the majority of the snaps towards the Ravens.

Finish consequence: three extra interceptions for the Baltimore protection’s complete. Smith and fellow linebacker Patrick Queen every grabbed one, together with security Marcus Williams, who leads the group with 4.

The Ravens are actually tied for second within the league with 14 interceptions over 13 video games. That’s helped them to a plus-9 turnover differential, additionally second-best within the NFL behind Philadelphia.

Watson has had loads of rust to shake off after sitting out all of 2021 and greater than half of this season. He’s thrown one interception in every of his first two video games. Guess on the Ravens to make that three straight.

Browns vs. Ravens decide: Browns QB Deshaun Watson to throw over 0.5 interceptions @ -111 at Caesars Sportsbook

Ravens vs Browns odds

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Right at time of publishing and topic to vary.

StaffUnfoldCash lineWhole Factors 37
Ravens(+3) -120+135Over -110
Browns(-3) +100-160Below -110

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