In quite a lot of methods, the Montreal Canadiens are doing what the Ottawa Senators did the previous two seasons.
A younger, rebuilding crew with loads of thrilling expertise to construct round, the Canadiens are punching up higher than some other crew within the NHL this season. The Habs, who completed useless final in 2021-22, are 12-12 once they shut because the underdog this season, and should you had guess $100 on all 24 of these contests you’d be up $827, which equates to a 34.5% ROI.
And once they shut at +150 or longer, Montreal is 7-8 and would have netted a $100 bettor $599 for a 39.9% ROI.
Underdog bettors will look again on the Sens fondly the previous two seasons as they constructed a fame as a scrappy, younger crew that at all times appeared to do properly as an enormous pooch.
Effectively, now the mantle has been handed to the Habs, who're a +160 outsider in Ottawa on Wednesday night time at 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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Canadiens vs. Senators (7:00 p.m. ET) prediction: Montreal Canadiens +160 (BetMGM)
The midway mark of the NHL season is quick approaching and the Montreal Canadiens are literally forward of the Ottawa Senators within the standings. Though no one anticipated the Sens to be a powerhouse, expectations had been greater than they’d been in a very long time after a splashy offseason that noticed Claude Giroux, Alex DeBrincat and Cam Talbot head to the Canadian capital.
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However one other sluggish begin has put the Sens behind the chasing pack, whereas the Habs have overperformed and are simply 4 factors out of a playoff spot as we head in the direction of the 30-game mark. That’s fairly spectacular for a crew that was among the many favorites to win the picket spoon (end with the worst report within the common season) earlier than Opening Night time.
As encouraging because the Habs have been by means of the primary two months of the season, there are quite a lot of indicators that counsel that they’ll start to fade out of the playoff image. Montreal has a -13 aim differential (and -6 aim distinction at 5-on-5), ranks twenty fifth in anticipated aim price and sits twenty eighth in high-danger scoring probability share.
These numbers do inform you that the Habs wrestle to push play in the precise course, however their roster isn’t constructed to be a possession powerhouse. The Canadiens are constructed to be a scientific crew that depends on their playmakers to profit from the moments that they create. To date these gamers have delivered.
And it’s not just like the Senators are a dominant 5-on-5 crew, both. Ottawa’s 52.7% anticipated objectives price and 52.6% high-danger probability share are greater than respectable, however these aren’t elite marks by any stretch. Plus, the Senators have struggled defensively for many of the season so they should tilt the ice to assist present some respiratory room for a leaky blueline.
The Ottawa Senators lastly appear to be on the right track after a really sluggish begin, however their present 6-3-1 stretch and a two-game profitable streak has offered shrewd bettors with an excellent sell-high alternative on the Sens.
Canadiens vs. Senators (7:00 p.m. ET) choose: Montreal Canadiens +160 (BetMGM)
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