Our NFL betting author gives greatest betting picks and predictions for Sunday’s sport between the Dallas Cowboys and Houston Texans, scheduled to air reside at 1 p.m. ET on FOX.
A one-way pendulum sort of setup awaits the Texans and Cowboys. Dallas is steamrolling the competitors, and the Texans have six double-digit losses this season with a digital lock on the No. 1 total draft choose.
Beneath we break down the battle for Texas…
Cowboys vs. Texans picks
- Cowboys cowl first-quarter unfold (-4) at -119 with Caesars Sportsbook
- Each groups to attain 10 whole factors or extra (No) at +140 with Caesars Sportsbook
- Dallas protection to attain TD at +380 with Caesars Sportsbook
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Cowboys vs. Texans predictions and evaluation
Dallas is 5-1 and averaging 37.2 factors per sport — greatest within the league throughout that span — since Dak Prescott returned from a thumb damage. The Cowboys have averaged 411 yards per sport throughout that stretch, behind solely the Chiefs, and will get prime offensive lineman Tyron Smith again from a knee damage this week.
There isn't a cavalry second coming for the Texans, who flip the offense again over to second-year quarterback Davis Mills. Houston is averaging 13 factors per sport over its previous three video games. The Texans are 0-3 in these video games, falling by a mean of 13.75 factors.
Cowboys -4 first quarter
The Cowboys are second within the NFL with a plus-9 turnover margin and with out self-inflicted wounds to begin the sport, it shouldn’t take lengthy for Dallas to distance itself from the Houston Texans.
The Texans have 20 turnovers this season and the scripted offense within the first quarter has been two components conversative and one half take cowl. Houston has simply 20 whole factors within the first quarter, whereas Dallas has 31 first-quarter factors in its previous 5 video games alone.
A single-digit unfold right here — to not point out lower than a full landing — is a vacation present.
Decide: Cowboys cowl first quarter unfold -4
Each groups to attain 10 (no) +140
Houston’s ineptitude could be spelled out in statistics and rankings, however one issue that has been a crippling weak point within the second half of the season: third-down offense. The Texans fail to string collectively drives with the mix of restricted first-down manufacturing and poor success fee on longer down-and-distances.
Houston has solely 11 third-down conversions in 73 makes an attempt the previous 5 video games. The Texans have scored greater than 20 factors only one time this season and could possibly be headed for a shutout.
Dallas? The Cowboys transformed 26 of 41 third-down tries prior to now three video games, once they’re averaging 40.75 factors per sport.
Decide: Each groups to attain 10 factors (No)
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Cowboys anytime defensive landing +380 (Caesars)
Dallas sees blood within the water with Mills averaging 2.8 QB sacks towards in 10 video games in 2022. An early dedication to the passing sport to keep away from early blowout territory equates to pressured throws, and Mills faces a salivating Cowboys’ secondary that ought to profit from a league-best cross rush (48 sacks).
With 11 fumble recoveries and 10 interceptions, the Cowboys’ protection is ready to pounce and pose within the endzone with a TD rating on Sunday.
Decide: Cowboys defensive TD
Cowboys vs. Texans odds
| Staff | Unfold | Cash Line | Whole Factors: 44.5 |
| Texans | +17.5 (-110) | +1040 | Over -110 |
| Cowboys | -17.5 (-110) | -2000 | Beneath -110 |
Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook, correct on the time of publishing, topic to alter.
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