Our NFL betting author affords his finest betting picks and predictions for the matchup between the Dolphins and Payments scheduled for Saturday in Orchard Park, NY, at 8:15 p.m. ET on NFL Community.
The AFC-leading Payments have gained 4 straight video games and might clinch a playoff spot in tonight’s chilly, snowy encounter with Miami. The Dolphins gained the primary assembly 21-19 in Week 3 when the temperature was 89 levels at kickoff in Miami Gardens, Florida.
Dolphins vs Payments picks
- Payments to cowl -7 unfold @ -110 by way of Caesars Sportsbook
- Below 43.5 whole factors to be scored @ -110 by way of Caesars Sportsbook
- Tua Tagovailoa to cross for fewer than 242.5 yards @ -131 by way of Caesars Sportsbook
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Dolphins vs Payments predictions and evaluation
The Dolphins are taking part in their third straight street sport and have misplaced the primary two. It doesn’t look like a great time for Miami to be taking part in in heavy snow towards a group it had misplaced to seven straight instances earlier than the late September triumph.
Payments -7
Initially, no one likes to play in actually chilly climate. However it actually is worse for groups that play in Florida or California to journey into arctic-like situations in mid-December.
Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel says he'll deal with it head-on together with his gamers — good luck, coach — however from the second the Miami gamers step off the airplane, there can be one prevailing thought: It's actually, actually chilly in Buffalo.
The Payments not solely have climate on their aspect, however in addition they need to avenge that early-season loss. A victory would additionally additional Buffalo’s bid for home-field benefit within the postseason — which might imply extra cold-weather video games.
The Payments are sizzling, and the Dolphins usually are not. Fairly easy right here. Take the Payments to cowl the unfold towards the warm-weather group.
Decide: Payments to cowl -7 unfold
Below 43.5 whole factors
Although Buffalo is on a pleasant profitable streak, the offense was lagging in final week’s 20-12 residence win over the New York Jets.
The Payments totaled a season-low 232 yards and quarterback Josh Allen threw for a season-worst 147 yards. Tight finish Dawson Knox vowed the membership gained’t be held down once more however let’s see what occurs if the soccer is heavy and slick throughout a night-time contest.
Allen handed for 400 yards and two touchdowns towards Miami in Week 3, and Buffalo couldn’t even attain 20 factors.
In the meantime, the Dolphins scored 17 factors in every of their consecutive losses, and each these video games had been performed within the heat of California.
Situations are all the time an element this time of the yr within the East and we see a Saturday evening of struggles. Going with the beneath is your strategy to riches.
Decide: Below 43.5 whole factors to be scored
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Tua Tagovailoa beneath 242.5 yards
Miami quarterback Tua Tagovailoa handed for simply 145 yards in final weekend’s loss to the Chargers, finishing a meager 35.7 % of his throws. He has accomplished simply 45.9 % of his passes over the previous two video games.
He insisted this week that the chilly could have no have an effect on on him however a January contest final season towards the Tennessee Titans in Nashville may be value finding out. You see, it was a dreary chilly and wet day and Tagovailoa accomplished simply 47.4 % of his passes, was intercepted as soon as, fumbled thrice (dropping one) and the Dolphins had been routed 34-3.
Tua is biased about himself however we're goal. There isn't any cause to consider Tagovailoa could have a giant sport towards the Payments. It's extra probably he struggles and has one other low yardage output like final week.
Decide: Tua Tagovailoa to throw for fewer than 242.5 yards
Dolphins vs. Payments odds
Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Right at time of publishing and topic to alter.
| Complete Factors 43.5 | Workforce | Unfold | Moneyline |
| Over -110 | Dolphins | (+7.0) -110 | +260 |
| Below -110 | Payments | (-7.0) -110 | -335 |
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