5 weeks after the Jets shocked the Payments with a 20-17 win, these two groups will meet once more in Week 14 in an important matchup towards deciding the eventual winner of the AFC East.
As soon as once more, the Payments are double-digit favorites at BetMGM to beat their division rivals, although New York is arguably a greater crew than when these groups confronted off final. Can it pull off one other stunning consequence as an enormous underdog?
Right here’s how we’re betting Sunday’s contest, which kicks off at 1 p.m. ET on CBS.
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Payments vs. Jets Prediction
- Jets +10 (-110 BetMGM)
Payments vs. Jets Evaluation
There are such a lot of causes to wager the Jets right here that it’s onerous to know the place to even begin. How about with these groups’ final assembly, which noticed a virtually equivalent projection from the betting market to what we’re seeing right here?
Forward of that Week 9 contest, the Payments have been priced as 10.5-point favorites to beat up on the Jets. As a substitute, New York gained outright on the energy of its elite protection, holding Buffalo to its lowest scoring whole (17) all season lengthy and doing simply sufficient offensively to prevail.
Josh Allen suffered his worst efficiency of the season by far in that one, throwing for 205 yards with zero touchdowns and two interceptions – all coming earlier than the harm he suffered on the ultimate drive of that loss. He hasn’t been the identical quarterback since, proudly owning a mere 89.5 passer score with practically as many turnovers (5) as landing passes (6) within the final 4 weeks.
Unsurprisingly, his crew hasn’t regarded proper, both. Courting again to that Week 9 loss, the Payments have as many outright losses (2) as double-digit wins (1), shedding to the Jets and Vikings and barely surviving towards the Lions. Amid these struggles, this marks the primary time Buffalo has laid 10 or extra factors since, fittingly, that earlier loss to the Jets.
This can be a higher New York crew than the one which pulled off that upset, too. This protection continues to be rock stable, rating fifth in DVOA throughout the complete season whereas permitting the fewest factors per recreation (15) since Week 6. The largest distinction has come offensively: backup Mike White has thrown for 684 yards in two begins over Zach Wilson and led the Jets to 2 of their six highest scoring totals this yr.
All of it provides as much as a surprisingly slender contest on paper – which makes this line all of the extra curious. We absolutely haven’t seen the very best model of the Payments up to now, however I’m undecided why we’d count on that to come back this week in a matchup that has already given them bother and will get even more durable on Sunday.
Payments vs. Jets Odds (through BetMGM)
- Payments -10 (-110), moneyline -500
- Jets +10 (-110), moneyline +375
- O/U 43 (-110)
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