Getting into the season, Jalen Hurts was each the most popular and most polarizing identify within the NFL MVP betting market. Three months later, he’s the prohibitive favourite to win it.
The Eagles quarterback lastly vaulted into first place within the MVP race after one other stellar displaying in Week 14, throwing for 2 touchdowns and speeding for an additional in a 48-22 win over the rival Giants. That continued the meteoric rise for Hurts, who’s now dealing because the -165 favourite at BetMGM over earlier favourite Patrick Mahomes (+175) — ending the previous MVP winner’s six-week reign atop the oddsboard.
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In some ways, it felt like a matter of time earlier than Hurts seized the highest spot with the way in which he’s led his group this season. Getting into Week 15, the Eagles (12-1) are the one group with fewer than three losses because of the regular play of their third-year passer, who has completed with a minimum of 300 complete yards or three touchdowns in 9 of Philly’s 13 video games this season.
In fact, it wasn’t at all times so apparent that Hurts would blossom into one of many league’s brightest stars. The previous second-round choose was priced as excessive as 50/1 at some outlets this summer season and entered the season as a 25/1 dart throw at most books. Even that felt beneficiant after he completed with simply 3,144 passing yards, 16 touchdowns, and eight wins in his first full season as a starter in 2021.
Extremely, he’s already surpassed all three totals by means of simply 13 video games. And it hasn’t taken that lengthy to comprehend an MVP-caliber season was brewing for the dual-threat star.
After a so-so begin in Week 1, Hurts was unstoppable in a Week 2 prime-time win over the Vikings, when he threw for 333 yards and rushed for 2 touchdowns. Every week later, he torched the Commanders by means of the air (340 yards, three TDs) to announce himself as a reliable MVP contender, and he’s hardly skipped a beat en path to in the end incomes front-runner standing.
Nonetheless, his candidacy is considerably uncommon when in comparison with latest MVP winners. Whereas Hurts leads the league in passer score (108.4), he ranks tenth in passing yards (3,157) and is tied for fifth in passing touchdowns (22). Even Lamar Jackson, whose historic dual-threat manufacturing helped him earn unanimous MVP honors in 2019, led the league in passing touchdowns (36) that season.
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Jackson additionally led in passing landing price (9.0 p.c) and QBR (83.0), which has turn out to be nearly obligatory for MVP winners lately. Since 2016, 5 of the final six gamers to win the award additionally led the NFL in each metrics — the one exception was Hurts’ predecessor, Carson Wentz, who led the league in each stats in 2017 however noticed his presumptive MVP marketing campaign minimize quick with a torn ACL in Week 14.
Hurts at present ranks fifth in passing landing price (5.7 p.c) and fourth in QBR (70.4), however he’s made up for it in different areas. His three interceptions are the fewest amongst all 33 certified passers, and he ranks sixth in speeding touchdowns (10) and fifteenth in yards per carry (4.9) — a key purpose why Philly boasts the NFL’s most prolific scoring offense (29.7 ppg).
There’s at all times an opportunity Hurts stumbles within the remaining 4 video games of the season, although it might take a Herculean effort to rattle the MVP favourite, who has hardly ever been threatened behind the Eagles’ phenomenal offensive line. It helps that Philadelphia will seemingly be favored in three of its remaining 4 video games and appears sure to lock up the perfect report within the league by season’s finish.
That must be sufficient for Hurts to safe the league’s prime honor, even with Mahomes scorching on his path amid a extra “typical” MVP marketing campaign. Circle the Eagles’ Week 16 check with the Cowboys in your betting calendar; if Hurts shines brilliant in that contest, even in a loss, this race must be all however determined.
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