We’ve already seen loads of drama within the betting marketplace for the New Orleans Bowl, which noticed South Alabama laying greater than a landing at one level earlier than settling in as a 4.5-point favourite over Western Kentucky. I’m nonetheless siding with the favored Jaguars right here in a school soccer matchup that performs to their strengths.
This line ballooned when Hilltoppers quarterback Austin Reed — who ranks second nationally in passing yards (4,247) and fourth in touchdowns (36) — entered the switch portal and appeared destined to start out anew at Louisville. He’s since rebuffed that provide, however he nonetheless faces a frightening job in opposition to South Alabama’s 14th-ranked scoring protection (20.5 ppg), which additionally ranks fourth in speeding yards allowed per sport (90.2) and twenty third in move protection effectivity (118.23).
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South Alabama vs. Western Kentucky prediction
The actual mismatch comes on the opposite aspect. The Jaguars’ red-hot offense hardly ever turns it over and may see loads of daylight in opposition to Western Kentucky, which leads the nation in turnovers compelled (30) however ranks 69th in whole protection (380.8 YPG). That break up might be the deciding issue: the Hilltoppers had been 7-0 this season once they compelled a number of turnovers and 1-5 once they didn’t.
It is a clear showcase spot for South Alabama, which almost knocked off UCLA earlier this yr and has an opportunity to win its first bowl sport at school historical past. The Jaguars boasted a top-25 scoring margin this season (plus-9.9) and are a strong guess to win right here by an analogous margin.
South Alabama vs. Western Kentucky decide (9 p.m. ET, ESPN)
South Alabama -4.5 (BetMGM)
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