Colts vs. Jaguars line, prediction: Ride with big underdog

Dave Tuley, senior reporter at VSiN.com, is in his fourth season with The Put up’s Bettor’s Information. His handicapping items seem in VSiN’s on-line journal, Level Unfold Weekly.

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (+15.5) over Indianapolis Colts

The Colts must win this sport to clinch an AFC wild-card spot and, after all, each analyst breaking down the playoff situations is just about writing down a Colts “W” in everlasting marker as if it’s a foregone conclusion. However, hey, we’ve seen groups in “must-win” conditions like this flip in clunkers on a regular basis, and this season can also be plagued by a number of beforehand inconceivable outcomes, together with these Jaguars beating the Payments 9-6 in Week 9 as 16-point dwelling underdogs and +800 on the cash line. Everyone knows how a lot the Jaguars stink, however these are nonetheless professionals attempting to place their greatest efficiency on tape for the brand new teaching workers, and so they’re not going to only roll over for the Colts. I’m not predicting an outright upset, however don’t neglect that the Colts beat the Jaguars simply 23-17 as 10.5-point dwelling favorites in Week 10, so we glance for the same spread-covering outcome right here.

Carson Wentz had little bother discovering receivers to throw to Thursday night time towards a Jets protection that allowed the Colts to compile 532 yards of offense in a 45-30 win.
Getty Photos

Getty Photos

HOUSTON TEXANS (+10.5) over Tennessee Titans

The Chiefs’ loss to the Bengals on Sunday moved the Titans up into the AFC’s No. 1 seed in the event that they beat the Texans on Sunday. Once more, most individuals predict this to be a cakewalk, however give me the inflated factors with the Texans. As soon as thought of the worst group within the league with Davis Mills at quarterback, they’ve been surprisingly aggressive down the stretch. Most individuals would count on them to be tanking for the next draft decide, but they’ve overwhelmed the Jaguars and Chargers in latest weeks. And don’t neglect they really beat the Titans, 22-13, as 10-point street underdogs in Week 10, in order that they have the blueprint for achievement. Once more, I’m not calling for one more outright upset, however I positively consider they will keep inside single digits at dwelling.

Final week: 1-1. Falcons (W), Lions (L)
Season: 20-14