After a 3-10 begin to the season in opposition to the unfold, the Jets have lined of their previous three video games.
The opening line for Sunday’s season finale in Orchard Park in opposition to the Payments was eye-popping. Sixteen-and-a-half factors! For a group that was 1¹/₂ yards away from beating the Buccaneers? A group that's nonetheless taking part in arduous for rookie head coach Robert Saleh? Absolutely the sharp bettors would hammer that quantity down. However that by no means occurred, and the road hasn’t budged.
The preliminary thought right here was that although the Payments would clinch the AFC East title with a win, they'd accomplish that with a 10-point victory, or seven or three and even one. Thus, there might be some worth within the hefty line. However on additional evaluate, the pendulum swings towards Buffalo for 3 predominant causes.
No. 1 is the Jets’ accidents. George Fant, who was a revelation at left sort out within the absence of Mekhi Becton, is out, so it may get dicey on the blind aspect. As well as, Zach Wilson could be lacking one in every of his largest weapons, Braxton Berrios.
No. 2 is the climate. It's forecast to be moist and windy with a RealFeel of round zero levels shortly after the 4:25 kickoff. The Jets have been a recreation bunch, however it’s asking rather a lot to play in these situations in opposition to a much-better, extremely motivated group. And No. 3 is the Jets’ protection, which has given up at the very least 45 factors 3 times this season. If issues begin going unhealthy, are you able to depend on this unit to maintain issues shut?
The choose: Payments, -16.5.
Washington Soccer Workforce (-7) over NEW YORK GIANTS
Joe Decide’s press convention after the desultory 29-3 loss in Chicago was unusual, however at the very least it was extra attention-grabbing than watching the Giants play. So the gamers “stop” on Pat Shurmur in 2019? That group received two of its closing three video games and scored 94 factors in them. Decide’s group ought to stop so effectively. His squad has one win and 72 factors up to now seven video games.
Pittsburgh Steelers (+5.5) over BALTIMORE RAVENS
Each groups are nonetheless in it, however want Indianapolis to lose at Jacksonville, and the deflation will probably be equal if the Colts have been to exit to an enormous lead. Line appears pegged to Lamar Jackson taking part in for the Ravens however that’s iffy, so there could also be some Steelers worth. And there’s nonetheless the trusty Mike Tomlin underdog angle — 45-23-2 ATS in my unofficial operating depend.
CLEVELAND BROWNS (-6) over Cincinnati Bengals
Discuss a group that figures to close all of it down this week. The Bengals already are with out Joe Burrow and Joe Mixon. Can’t think about they'd danger damage to Ja’Marr Chase. It’s been a dud of a season for the Browns, however Case Keenum is able to main them previous what’s left of the Bengals.
Inexperienced Bay Packers (-4) over DETROIT LIONS
The Lions are 10-6 ATS with a 2-13-1 report, so you realize they’ll come to play, however a lot of that unfold report has include strains of a landing or extra. This one’s artificially low as a result of it probably will probably be Jordan Love changing or relieving Aaron Rodgers. Matt LaFleur remains to be going to attempt to give Love the means to achieve success.
Chicago Bears (+5.5) over MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Quickly-to-be-fired Bears coach Matt Nagy was planning to start out Justin Fields, however the younger QB ended up on the COVID checklist, so he’ll attempt for a 3rd straight win with Nick Foles or Andy Dalton. Though Kirk Cousins is again, the Vikings nonetheless have just one double-digit win all season, so this small unfold may find yourself mattering.
Indianapolis Colts (-15.5) over JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Some Jaguars followers will probably be sporting clown wigs with proprietor Shad Khan’s handlebar mustache to protest the horrible 2-14 report. Their final cowl was a 23-17 loss at Indianapolis in mid-November. They misplaced their subsequent seven video games by a mean of 19.4 factors.
HOUSTON TEXANS (+10.5) over Tennessee Titans
A win would clinch the bye for Tennessee, however as talked about earlier, a one-point win would serve the aim. Derrick Henry is not going to play. And the Texans had a shocking 22-13 win at Tennessee in November.
New England Patriots (-6.5) over MIAMI DOLPHINS
Miami’s dream of going from 1-7 to the playoffs died arduous final week at Tennessee. Exhausting to bounce again from that to play one closing recreation. The Patriots would see their motivation disappear ought to the Payments go up massive on the Jets, however Invoice Belichick can preserve his gamers centered on ending the sport.
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-8.5) over Carolina Panthers
Bruce Arians says he desires the No. 2 NFC seed and can play Tom Brady and the starters. Issues are just a little on edge after the Antonio Brown state of affairs and the near-loss to the Jets, so the Bucs might be trying to make this a straightforward one. The Panthers are one of many must-fade groups on the finish of this season.
ATLANTA FALCONS (+3.5) over New Orleans Saints
Sean Payton’s group has had a making an attempt season, however would clinch a wild-card berth with a win and 49ers loss to the Rams, which is kind of doable. Nonetheless, the Saints are a low-scoring group and the higher quarterback, Matt Ryan, is taking part in in opposition to them.
ARIZONA CARDINALS (-6.5) over Seattle Seahawks
Cardinals are additionally watching the scoreboard, needing a Rams loss for a shot on the NFC West title. Seattle has damage points on the offensive line, and this might go sideways if the Cardinals have a free path to Russell Wilson.
San Francisco 49ers (+4.5) over LOS ANGELES RAMS
The groups have totally different issues at quarterback. For the 49ers, Jimmy Garoppolo will play with a bum thumb or they’ll flip to rookie Trey Lance. For the Rams, Matthew Stafford has been unhealthy of late. Each groups have motivation, however survival normally trumps seeding.
LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (+3) over Los Angeles Chargers
That is the one which’s really a play-in recreation, as both group will get in with a win. The Chargers additionally would clinch with a tie, and there’s a crazier situation through which each groups may make the playoffs with a tie. So it’s good to be getting some factors in case any of that have been to play out.
Finest bets: Bears, Payments, Falcons.
Lock of the week: Bears (Locks 10-6 in 2021)
Final week: 9-7 general, 1-2 Finest Bets.
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