2022 Champions League Final: The single-game parlay we’re betting Saturday

With so many choices obtainable, betting the Champions League Ultimate can typically really feel intimidating for brand spanking new bettors.

Whether or not you’re backing a facet, whole, goalscorer, corners or, heck, even “both group to hit the woodwork,” there are myriad choices to decide on. Then there’s the single-game parlay, which bettors can use to mix a lot of outcomes for one match to (hopefully) get a bigger payout.

So, we’re right here to sort out simply as we current our greatest single-game parlay that includes three outcomes I consider are possible on their very own. Odds are reflective at time of writing and topic to motion.

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Parlay Leg #1 – Liverpool Double Likelihood

Odds by way of BetMGM

It’s my working assumption that Liverpool will win the match after 90 minutes + damage time, however we’ll add a bit of insurance coverage right here.

Throughout the final 10 Champions League Finals, just one underdog has gained the match outright on the finish of normal time. That, in fact, was Chelsea in final yr’s closing. Earlier than that match, favorites had a superb file of both profitable the match or pushing it to added further time. Earlier than Chelsea, the final underdog to win outright in 90 minutes was Barcelona in 2009. Nonetheless, it was solely a +171 underdog on the three-way moneyline.

Up to now this Champions League, Liverpool has solely posted one outright defeat in 12 fixtures and it got here undeservedly. On the flip-side, Actual Madrid has gained solely two of its final six UCL fixtures on the finish of 90 minutes.

Real Madrid players celebrate during their semifinal win over Manchester City.
Actual Madrid gamers have fun throughout their semifinal win over Manchester Metropolis.
AFP by way of Getty Photos

Parlay Leg #2 – Each Groups to Rating

This market is hovering between -165 and -175 relying on the place you store and I discover good cause behind these numbers.

I’ll be downright shocked if Actual Madrid maintain a clear sheet on this match. Throughout its six UCL knockout spherical fixtures, it has by no means stored a clear sheet within the first 90 minutes. Embrace its six group stage fixtures and bettors will discover Los Blancos have stored 4 clear sheets in 12 UCL fixtures, not less than two of which have been undeserved.

Towards a Liverpool assault that generated not less than 1.5 xG in 5 straight UCL fixtures, anticipate it to get on the board. That mentioned, Liverpool’s protection has conceded not less than as soon as in 5 consecutive non-cup matches and allowed not less than one tally in 4 of six UCL knockout matches.

For all of Madrid’s luck, supervisor Carlo Ancelotti’s facet has confirmed able to producing probabilities. Towards a drained Liverpool dense, anticipate it to notch a tally.

Liverpool star Mohamed Salah
Liverpool star Mohamed Salah
Getty Photos

Parlay Leg #3 – Over 2.5 Objectives

I gained’t fault you for enjoying this market by itself, however I see sufficient of an edge that I’m assured to make use of it in a parlay.

In its six knockout matches and two group matches in opposition to Inter, Actual Madrid conceded 1.6 anticipated targets per 90 minutes. As talked about earlier, that won't do effectively in opposition to a Liverpool offense that ranks second within the competitors in massive scoring probabilities created (30), per fotmob.com.

Plus, simply in 4 matches in opposition to Inter and Villarreal, the Reds generated north of 1.7 xG/90 minutes. It has additionally scored not less than twice in all however one in every of its 12 UCL matches this season.


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Assuming Actual does its job and cashes the BTTS prop, I really feel as if this wager is protected in Liverpool’s fingers.

Conclusion

Placing collectively all three of these legs will get this single-game parlay to +165 at BetMGM. Relatedly, if you happen to’re feeling friskier, I don’t hate utilizing over 3.5 targets as a substitute of the final leg. That may transfer this parlay to +260, a value I’m prepared to take given how open I anticipate this match to be.

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