Flames vs. Stars NHL playoff collection odds
Odds offered by BetMGM
Collection Moneyline: Flames -350/Stars +270
There is just one workforce within the NHL Playoffs with a unfavorable aim differential on the season: The Dallas Stars.
Generally a workforce’s aim differential over the course of a season can get a bit noisy, however on this occasion, the purple mark subsequent to Dallas’ title within the standings does a good job at precisely portraying the kind of workforce the Stars are. Which is to say, Dallas isn’t that good.
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Flames vs. Stars playoff collection preview
That may very well be a little bit of an issue on this matchup as a result of Calgary has performed like one of many NHL’s greatest groups all season lengthy. Checking into the season as 45/1 outsiders, the Flames got here roaring out of the gates and, save for a little bit of a blip through the Covid-haze of December, by no means actually slowed down.
The Flames rank first in 5-on-5 aim differential, first in targets allowed at 5-on-5, fifth in anticipated targets share, and fourth in high-danger scoring probability fee this season. In different phrases, that is as well-balanced a workforce as there's within the NHL proper now.
Dallas, then again, is extraordinarily top-heavy and overly reliant on its high line to do the heavy lifting. In opposition to weaker opposition, the trio of Joe Pavelski, Jason Robertson, and Roope Hintz can dominate a sport, however the Flames have greater than sufficient depth to make it possible for Dallas’ high line isn’t in a position to steal the collection.
And whereas Dallas’ high line was one of many league’s strongest all season, they are going to be going up in opposition to the NHL’s greatest trio this collection. Johnny Gaudreau, Elias Lindholm, and Matthew Tkachuk every reached the 40-goal plateau this season and Gaudreau and Tkachuk every topped 100 factors. And even when the highest traces wash one another out, Calgary has the depth to win the battles down the lineup. The second line of Andrew Mangiapane, Mikael Backlund, and Tyler Toffoli clicked as quickly as Toffoli joined the Flames, whereas the third line of Dillon Dube, Calle Jarnkrok, and Blake Coleman ought to present loads of sturdy minutes in opposition to weaker opposition on this collection.
And even within the off probability that Calgary’s sport nosedives, the Flames have Jacob Markstrom, one of many NHL’s greatest goaltenders backing them up. Jake Oettinger did a strong job of getting the Stars into the postseason in his first full season as an NHL starter, however he’s a few tiers under Markstrom on this matchup and his job can be a lot more durable than that of his counterpart.
Not solely are the Flames the deeper, extra gifted workforce by a large margin, however they current an actual matchup conundrum for the Stars. Dallas is comparatively snug absorbing strain after which springing counter-attacks, however the Flames are hyper-aware defensively and completed the season because the third-best workforce within the league at stopping high-danger scoring probabilities.
Dallas is simply two seasons faraway from a shock run to the Stanley Cup Remaining and I believe the workforce’s popularity as a troublesome out is flattering them a bit right here. The Flames have worth on the collection unfold at -1.5 video games (-145) and are additionally value backing to comb at +475.
Stars vs. Flamescollection prediction and wager: Calgary Flames -1.5 video games (-145); Flames to comb +475 (PointsBet)
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