Best MLB home run picks, odds for FanDuel Dinger Tuesday: Jazz Chisholm and more

It’s the most effective day of the week for baseball betting: Dinger Tuesday.

For novice bettors or those that haven’t dabbled in MLB wagering, FanDuel’s $5 Dinger Tuesday is an exhilarating weekly promotion that rewards you for “To Hit a Residence Run” bets, even when the man you decide doesn’t go yard. The way it works: guess as much as $25 on a participant to hit a dinger, and for each different residence run that's hit in that recreation, you get $5 of free bets.

Ensure that to go to the promos web page and opt-in earlier than inserting any wagers.

Basically, when you guess on a participant in a recreation the place 5 residence runs are hit, you get your complete stake again in free bets. Plus, in case your man does hit a dinger, you A) win the payout and B) nonetheless get the free bets for added residence runs hit in that recreation. In case your man goes yard on a $25 stake at +400 and three different gamers hit homers, you win $100, whereas additionally profitable $15 in free wagers. You get one probably risk-free wager per recreation and may select to play one matchup on the slate, all of them, or anyplace in between. This promotion is on the market for all customers, solely on FanDuel.

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Guess $5, Get $200 in free bets – Win or Lose


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In the event you’re not signed up for FanDuel but, click on the hyperlink above and luxuriate in $200 of free bets along with your Dinger Tuesday winnings (simply ensure you place the $5 guess on one thing else earlier than you make your house run bets).

Typically, you need to goal video games in hitter-friendly ballparks with pitchers susceptible to giving up lengthy balls, to boost your flooring and make it possible you’ll win free bets even when the man you decide doesn’t go yard. However the true payout comes when your man does hit a dinger, so it’s nonetheless very important to make the best picks. With that mentioned, listed below are a number of the finest performs for Tuesday, June 21. All strains are courtesy of FanDuel and reflective of the time of writing.

Colorado Rockies at Miami Marlins (6:40 p.m. ET)

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (+460)

Lefty-righty splits are among the many most essential factor to think about when figuring out residence run bets, and there may be maybe not a participant with a extra drastic cut up in that division than Chisholm. In 2022, Chisholm is hitting a depressing .097/.147/.161 in opposition to lefties – however a strong .268/.342/.583 in opposition to righties. All 13 of his homers this season have come in opposition to right-handed pitchers.

Marlins star Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Marlins star Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Getty Pictures

Fortunately for him – and us – the Marlins face a righty tonight in Ryan Feltner, who has given up 4 homers in opposition to lefties in 57 batters confronted. Marlins Park is barely mediocre with regards to park issue, however there are three different gamers on this recreation within the prime 55 of my residence run likelihood mannequin (CJ Cron, Jorge Soler and Charlie Blackmon), and the pitching matchup between Feltner and Daniel Castano is middling at finest.

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers (8:10 p.m. ET)

Hunter Renfroe (+385)

In my aforementioned residence run likelihood mannequin, I weigh 2022 residence runs per plate look in opposition to underlying elements equivalent to launch angle, barrel proportion, and hard-hit price. Renfroe grades out at twelfth total and tenth in residence runs per at-bat within the majors. The principle cause he's solely being tied for twenty second in dingers on the season is plate appearances (solely 209 to this point this 12 months).

A part of that is because of a hamstring damage suffered in Could, whereas one other half has to do with the truth that he usually hits fifth within the order, which can value him an at-bat (and an opportunity to hit a dinger). However Renfroe has been crimson sizzling of late, with hits in his final six video games and three lengthy balls previously 4. He hits for barely extra energy in opposition to lefties, however righty Jack Flaherty is anticipated to be on a pitch rely in his second begin again from damage, and American Household Discipline has averaged the sixth-most homers of any park since 2020, per Baseball Savant.

Hunter Renfroe of the Milwaukee Brewers
Hunter Renfroe of the Milwaukee Brewers
Getty Pictures

Kansas Metropolis Royals at Los Angeles Angels (9:40 p.m. ET)

Jared Walsh (+440)

One other very dinger-friendly park is Angel Stadium – Anaheim supplies the fourth-best park issue for homers, per Baseball Savant.

Tuesday’s matchup with the Royals options two beginning pitchers (Jonathan Heasley and Reid Detmers) with out a lot MLB expertise. That mentioned, the Angels hit far more residence runs than the Royals, so that you’ll need to goal an LA hitter.

Mike Trout seemingly goes yard each evening, however his line is barely +205. Shohei Ohtani is an enchancment at +275, however he hasn’t mashed to the identical extent in 2022 as he did final 12 months. Why not Jared Walsh, who has the identical variety of dingers in opposition to righties as Ohtani, however with significantly better juice? Heasley has given up 5 homers to lefties in 16.1 innings, and Walsh has hit the ball exhausting not too long ago.

Wish to guess on the MLB?

Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles (7:05 p.m. ET)

Anthony Santander (+440)

If the Reds (or Rockies) have essentially the most dinger-happy stadium, Oriole Park at Camden Yards is actually close to the highest of the checklist. For one, the Orioles play there, who can’t pitch and quit a ton of lengthy balls themselves. However their lineup consists of some sluggers, together with Ryan Mountcastle (who got here by means of final Dinger Tuesday) and Anthony Santander, who has three homers in his final 5 video games.

Each beginning pitchers on this matchup (Erick Fedde and Jordan Lyles) get hit exhausting by lefties, leaving Santander and Juan Soto as the most effective choices right here. Soto is definitely the higher participant however doesn’t hit a ton of homers and is available in 52nd in my residence run likelihood mannequin, whereas Santander is twenty fifth. At a greater worth, Santander is the decide.

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