Lightning vs. Rangers Game 1 odds, pick: Goaltending a reason for this best bet

The Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Rangers will drop the puck on the Jap Convention Finals on Wednesday night time at Madison Sq. Backyard. Regardless of taking part in at house, the Rangers are +110 underdogs for Recreation 1. The Over/Underneath for the collection opener is about at 5.5, with the beneath juiced to -125.

As we noticed on Tuesday night time, offense will outline the Western Convention Finals. That won't be the case within the East, as the 2 greatest goaltenders within the NHL are set to sq. off for the appropriate to ship their crew to the Stanley Cup Last.

Rangers vs. Lightning Recreation 1 choose (8:00 PM ET, ESPN)

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After trying a bit out of kinds throughout stretches of Spherical 1 towards the Penguins, Igor Shesterkin is again to his world-beating self heading into the Jap Convention Finals. The 26-year-old skated to a .945 save proportion and a +14.4 Objectives Saved Above Anticipated (GSAx) within the seven video games towards Carolina. Shesterkin was the MVP of a collection by which the Rangers have been out-shot, 235-183, and allowed 118 high-danger scoring possibilities.

Igor Shesterkin winning.
Igor Shesterkin reacts because the Rangers beat the Hurricanes.
Getty Photographs

There’s no motive to doubt Shesterkin’s kind for the time being, however it's price noting the competitors he’s gone up towards to this point within the playoffs. When Shesterkin stares down Andrei Vasilevskiy on Wednesday night time it is going to be simply the second recreation all postseason the place he’s being tasked with going up towards the opposition’s starter. The one different contest Shesterkin has had with a No. 1 goalie was Recreation 7 of Spherical 1 when the Rangers defeated Tristan Jarry in time beyond regulation. Jarry had missed the final two weeks of the common season and first six video games of the playoffs with a damaged foot.

So whereas Shesterkin has been nice — particularly of late — the Rangers have nonetheless wanted the utmost quantity of video games and needed to win 5 elimination video games to get up to now, regardless of taking part in towards groups that posted save percentages of .896 and .891, respectively.

In all chance, the Rangers will face a a lot stronger efficiency from Vasilevskiy, which suggests New York might want to discover one other degree at 5-on-5. By way of 14 video games, no crew in the complete postseason area has posted a decrease anticipated targets share (39.7 p.c) or high-danger scoring probability price (35.8 p.c) at even power than the Rangers. Moreover, no crew comes near New York’s 215 high-danger scoring possibilities allowed.


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The excellent news for the Rangers on Wednesday night time is the Lightning usually are not the kind of crew that can come out and impose their will proper out of the gates in a Recreation 1. Tampa has made a behavior of taking a extra conservative method in series-openers to be able to obtain info and really feel their approach into the matchup. Moreover, the Lightning will know that New York’s scientific offense feasts on errors, so they might even go extra conservative than ordinary. And that doesn’t even point out that that is Tampa’s first recreation in 9 days, so the Bolts could possibly be somewhat rusty out of the gate.

The Lightning will seemingly have the lion’s share of the puck and the scoring possibilities on this recreation, but it surely ought to take a while for each of those sides to get their bearings on Wednesday night time. 

The Guess: First-period beneath 1.5 targets (-120)

Odds courtesy of BetMGM.

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