We’re solely a time out from the beginning of the 2022 Memorial Match, giving us another alternative to share some performs.
Right here, we’ll be specializing in our favourite matchup bets for the occasion. I’ve recognized two markets that characteristic – in my view – worthy favorites that match Muirfield Village properly and ought to be trusted sufficient to put the juice.
So, with out additional delay, listed below are my finest matchup bets at Muirfield Village. Odds are reflective on the time of writing and topic to motion.
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Finest Guess #1 – Aaron Sensible (-126) over Si Woo Kim
Odds by way of Fanduel Sportsbook
Sensible’s first two appearances on the Jack Nicklaus-designed course didn’t go properly. He missed the reduce each occasions and misplaced strokes in all the important thing areas.
However, Sensible seemingly found one thing in his 2021 go to to Ohio. He posted a T9 end — satirically, tied with Si Woo Kim — and gained at the least two strokes on method, across the inexperienced and placing.
Though he arrives this week battling the flat-stick (Sensible ranks a hundred and twentieth in SG: Placing – 5 to 10 ft in 24-round statistical mannequin), there’s loads to love elsewhere. For instance, Sensible ranks tenth total in that very same projection, largely partly as a result of he’s tenth in SG: method, fifth in GIRs gained and ninth in SG: Par 4’s – 450 to 500 yards. Sensible additionally ranks a good thirty fifth in good drives gained and forty third in SG: across the inexperienced.
On the flip-side, Kim’s an fascinating research this week at Muirfield Village. Though he’s posted three finishes of twenty ninth or higher in his final 4 occasions, he’s misplaced strokes each off the tee and on method in two of these occasions.
Plus, the three-time PGA Tour winner doesn’t fee out notably properly in my mannequin. He’s 52nd within the eight-round mannequin, thirty third within the 12-round projection, and forty first within the 24-round mannequin.
Simply within the latter output, Kim is type of common throughout the board. Though he’s eighth in SG: Par 5’s, he fails to crack the top-30 in the entire remaining metrics. Most notably, he’s thirty fifth in SG: method, 67th in good drives gained, and 88th in GIRs gained.
Given Kim solely has one top-30 in his final six occasions, I belief Sensible to defeat him in a matchup.
Finest Guess #2 – Mito Pereira (-115) over Billy Horschel
Odds by way of DraftKings Sportsbook
Perhaps we received’t get that Pereira PGA Championship hangover in any case.
The Chilean appeared to quell any considerations a couple of letdown after going out and ending tied for seventh final week on the Charles Schwab Problem, outpacing this week’s matchup opponent Billy Horschel, who missed the reduce.
Now Pereira heads to Muirfield Village, a course that ought to go well with his sport properly. Pereira sits fourth total in my 24-round projection and truly ranks out first total in my 12-round mannequin. By way of the latter mannequin, Pereira is eighth or higher in good drives gained (2nd), strokes-gained method (eighth), and GIRs gained (third). He’s additionally thirteenth in SG: Par 5’s and twenty third in SG: placing – 10 to fifteen ft.
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Crucially, Pereira additionally ranks ninth in bogey avoidance over his final 24 rounds, a development that may turn out to be useful in Ohio.
As for Horschel, there’s little to dislike about him — he’s nineteenth within the 24-round projection — as he ranks contained in the top-25 in half of the person stat measurements. Plus, he has two top-13 finishes in his final two begins right here.
That mentioned, he doesn’t arrive in the perfect type. Throughout his final 5 begins, Horschel has posted solely two top-25 finishes and ranks forty sixth in my 24-round mannequin in SG: method. In consequence, I’ll belief my mannequin right here and again the Chilean to outpace Horschel for the second consecutive event.
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