We’ve reached the conclusion of our Wyndham Championship greatest bets. That, in fact, means it’s time to throw some darts.
Though we didn't money a first-round chief wager final week, we had a pleasant sweat with Lee Hodges (100/1), who completed two pictures off the tempo. This week, I’ve as soon as once more settled on 4 gamers to steer after the opening spherical primarily based on a mixture of related statistics and course historical past.
Because it stands, 4 gamers — Sungjae Im, Shane Lowry, Webb Simpson and Will Zalatoris — are co-favorites to steer after the opening spherical at +3100.
With that mentioned, listed below are my 4 greatest first-round chief bets for the Wyndham Championship. All odds come courtesy of Fanduel Sportsbook and are reflective on the time of writing.
Additionally learn: Wyndham Championship matchup bets
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Wyndham Championship knowledgeable golf picks, predictions
First-Spherical Chief Wager #1 – Russell Henley (+4200)
I’m all aboard the Henley practice this week — I’ve backed him in each a spinoff and a matchup — so why not put money into first-round chief too?
Over his final 24 opening rounds on programs below 7,200 yards, Henley fashions out first total within the discipline. Shrink the pattern right down to his previous 12 rounds and Henley stays as one of the best participant within the discipline.
In that latter projection, Henley ranks first in birdies or higher gained, first in SG: Par 4’s and seventh in SG: Strategy. Additional, Henley ranks eleventh in three-putt avoidance over that span, one other good indicator he’s able to going low Thursday.
Henley additionally led the Wyndham after the opening spherical final 12 months earlier than in the end ending tied for seventh. Lastly, he’s fifth on tour this season in first-round scoring and is first within the discipline in SG: Complete over his final 12 opening rounds on programs below 7,200 yards.
Primarily based on these developments, I’m barely shocked you’re not seeing Henley additional up the board. For me, I’ll again him as much as +3700.
First-Spherical Chief Wager #2 – Harold Varner III (+5000)
Let’s again one other former FRL at Sedgefield CC lets?
Varner owns two top-10 finishes in his final 5 appearances at this monitor and completed tied for the lead after Thursday in 2020. Additional, Varner III has fired 5 consecutive opening rounds below par at this monitor and was solely two pictures off the opening-round tempo in 2017.
As for his statistical modeling, Varner III sits sixth total throughout his final 12 opening rounds earlier than leaping as much as second total within the 24-round projection. Simply in that latter mannequin, he’s first in SG: Strategy, third in birdies or higher gained and seventh in SG: Par 4’s.
Plus, though he’s forty third in three-putt avoidance over that span, he’s concurrently third in placing from 10-15 toes. Assuming his elite irons present up, I’m not overly involved about that former rating.
For all these causes, 50/1 seems like a stable value on Varner III in North Carolina.
First-Spherical Chief Wager #3 – Joel Dahmen (+7500)
Dahmen doesn’t have one of the best course historical past right here — no higher than forty second in three begins — however his underlying stats recommend he’s a very good wager on this market.
Over his final 24 qualifying opening rounds, Dahmen is twelfth total in my statistical projection. However, simply throughout his final 12 opening rounds on programs below 7,200 yards, he’s second total within the discipline.
In that latter mannequin, Dahmen is regular throughout the board. He ranks tenth in fairways gained, seventeenth in SG: Strategy, second in GIRs gained and fifth in birdies or higher gained. He’s additionally 18th in each Par-4 measures and is a top-30 putter from each 5-10 toes and 10-15 toes.
Plus, Dahmen was just one shot off the opening tempo not too way back on the U.S. Open and ranks within the top-15 of the sector in first-round scoring this season (T-Thirty second total on tour).
Though he’s by no means led after the opening spherical right here, he’s fired an under-par spherical in all three appearances. For these causes, I’m prepared to take a flier at 75/1.
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First-Spherical Chief Wager #4 – Nick Taylor (+11000)
Very similar to Hodges final week, this wager is sort of a hunch.
Taylor hasn’t performed properly in opening rounds of late — 89th in my 12-round projection — however I’m hoping a well-known course will assist him rediscover some previous type as he’s 18th in my 24-round projection.
In his final three begins on the Wyndham Championship. Taylor owns two top-10 finishes and has performed every opening spherical below par. Plus, he was solely three pictures off Henley’s tempo in 2021 and has two opening-round 65’s in these final three begins.
By way of the mannequin, his placing leaves A LOT to be desired — 116th from 5-10 toes, 103rd in three-putt avoidance — however he’s remarkably above-average in attending to the dance flooring. Throughout these final 24 opening rounds, Taylor is thirteenth in fairways gained, twenty sixth in SG: Strategy, seventh in GIRs gained and 18th in birdies or higher gained.
Plus, he’s twenty third in placing between 10 and 15 toes, so perhaps he’s not as dangerous as we predict in that division.
Both method, 110/1 is a good value….assuming he can sustain his report of constructing a number of birdies.
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