In the event you thought the final “Thursday Evening Soccer” contest between the Broncos and Colts was powerful to observe, feast your eyes on this week’s showdown between the Commanders and Bears in a sport neither can afford to lose.
Oddsmakers are already ready for one of many lowest-scoring video games of the season, pricing Washington as a 1-point street favourite at BetMGM with a complete of 38 – a half-point shy of the bottom complete all season. Will we see one of many lowest-scoring outputs, too?
Right here’s how we’re betting Thursday night time’s contest, which kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.
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Bears vs. Commanders odds (by way of BetMGM)
- Commanders -1 (-105), moneyline -110
- Bears +1 (-115), moneyline -110
- O/U 38 (-110)
Bears vs. Commanders prediction and evaluation
This doubtless goes with out saying, however this is likely one of the least appetizing offensive matchups of the season. And that’s nice information for beneath bettors.
Getting into Week 6, the Commanders (18 PPG) and Bears (17.2) each rank within the backside seven in factors per sport. That shouldn’t come as a shock to anybody who’s really watched these two offenses at work – particularly Chicago, which ranks a disheartening thirty first in yards per sport (274) solely forward of a Panthers group that simply fired head coach Matt Rhule on Monday.
The Bears’ passing sport is especially anemic, rating lifeless final in yards per sport (116.6) and complete move completions (49). In actual fact, Chicago is at present on tempo to finish simply 167 passes on the season, which might be the fewest by any group throughout a full season for the reason that Buccaneers accomplished 151 passes in 1978. And that got here in 16 video games, in comparison with the 17-game tempo for this depressing Bears assault.
Washington’s move protection has been atrocious this 12 months, rating twenty ninth in move protection DVOA, however that’s clearly not as massive of a priority towards this throwback Bears assault that depends closely on the bottom sport. That’s unhealthy information towards these Commanders, who rank sixth in rush protection DVOA and tenth in yards allowed per carry (4.2).
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The Bears’ protection has been quietly stout by the primary 5 weeks, holding all 5 opponents under 30 factors whereas rating eighth in takeaways (8). That’s particularly related towards Commanders quarterback Carson Wentz, who has already thrown six interceptions – one shy of the NFL lead – with not less than one turnover in all 5 video games this season.
Over the past three seasons, video games with a complete of 38 or decrease have gone a stellar 7-1 to the beneath, together with an ideal 3-0 when both of those two groups are concerned. With only a few days for these offenses to get proper, I’d anticipate one other sluggish affair on Thursday night time.
Bears vs. Commanders choose
- Beneath 38 (-110 BetMGM)
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