Our NFL betting author affords greatest betting picks and predictions for the Thanksgiving Day sport between the Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants, scheduled to air Thursday at 4:30 p.m. ET on FOX.
At 7-3, the Cowboys and Giants are in pursuit of the NFC East-leading Philadelphia Eagles and firmly within the chase for a wildcard playoff spot. Dallas beat the Giants within the earlier assembly this season with out Dak Prescott, who's again from a thumb harm because the Cowboys trip a wave of momentum from a 40-3 win over the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday.
Cowboys vs. Giants picks
- Cowboys to cowl -9.5 @ -110 at Caesars Sportsbook
- Beneath 45.5 factors @ -110 at Caesars Sportsbook
- Dak Prescott over 247.5 passing yards @ -117 at Caesars Sportsbook
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Cowboys vs. Giants prediction and evaluation
Dallas has loads to be ok with after destroying the Minnesota Vikings 40-3 on Sunday. It was purported to be top-of-the-line video games of the week, with the Vikings coming into 8-1 off their game-of-the-year victory over Buffalo. As a substitute, Dak Prescott, the Cowboys’ working sport and the protection mixed to ship the franchise’s largest-ever margin of victory in a street sport.
The Giants have performed on Thanksgiving twice this millennium, however they haven’t confronted the Cowboys on Turkey Day since 1992. Meantime, the Washington soccer staff previously often called the Washington Soccer Workforce visited Dallas for Thanksgiving 4 instances between 2012 and 2020. Go determine. Thank the soccer gods that New York is a contender this yr, although Massive Blue comes into this sport with losses in two of its previous three, together with a 31-18 defeat in opposition to Detroit final week.
Cowboys cowl -9.5
The Cowboys are the extra gifted staff, the extra full staff and the staff in higher type proper now. To prime it off, they've home-field benefit and are positive to have their standard raucous crowd present up for an annual Thanksgiving custom.
The Giants harm scenario brings intrigue to the 9.5-point unfold, even in gentle of the Minnesota mauling. New York seems to be set to take a swing on the Cowboys with a barely recognizable offensive line. Sort out Evan Neal didn’t make the journey and bookend blocker Andrew Thomas is questionable, along with his arrow pointed downward.
Giants coach Brian Daboll has realized one thing from these groups’ first assembly, which Dallas gained 23-16. That day, the Giants ran the ball simply 25 instances, which nonetheless stands as their season low. The following week, New York pounded the rock 44 instances and acquired again on a successful path.
However that template solely works if the Giants are inside putting distance. A vacation-energy injected offense with Dak Prescott on the set off might place the sport squarely on Daniel Jones, whose band of obtainable huge receivers by no means made a QBs want listing.
Cowboys vs. Giants choose: Cowboys to cowl -9.5 @ -110 with Caesars Sportsbook
Beneath 45.5 complete factors
The Giants are 2-7-1 within the O/U class this season; the Cowboys are 3-6-1. But Vegas didn’t regulate this week’s complete fairly as far down appropriately.
The Cowboys contained dynamic wideout Justin Jefferson and the Minnesota offense final week, forcing a 1-for-11 fee on third downs and 7 punts. That boosted the Cowboys to No. 1 within the NFL in scoring protection (16.7 ppg), whereas the Giants are a decent thirteenth (20.4).
New York has been succeeding by forcing low-scoring video games; its offense has eclipsed 24 factors simply as soon as all season. And if the Giants depend on the bottom sport like we predict they may, that naturally produces lower-scoring video games than pass-heavy contests. The Giants are fourth within the league in dashing offense (157.2 ypg), whereas Dallas is shut behind in eighth (136.2).
Bear in mind, these groups mixed for simply 39 factors once they final noticed one another. The below is as secure a guess as your mom’s Thanksgiving cooking.
Cowboys vs. Giants choose: Beneath 45.5 complete factors @ -110 with Caesars Sportsbook
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Dak Prescott over 247.5 passing yards
After he missed 5 video games with a thumb harm, Prescott returned in Week 7 and acquired warmed up in opposition to the Detroit Lions. Since then, he’s hit 250 passing yards in three straight video games whereas finishing a mixed 71.4 p.c of his throws in opposition to the Chicago Bears, Packers and Vikings.
In his 11 profession video games in opposition to the Giants, Prescott has gone 9-2 and averaged 262.4 yards per sport, with a 21:5 touchdown-interception ratio for good measure.
Since Prescott missed the primary New York sport whereas injured, he hasn’t needed to face this yr’s model of the Giants — however then once more, this yr’s Giants haven’t needed to face him both. In his first yr as New York’s defensive coordinator, Don Martindale has finished a fantastic job teaching the cross protection, however they've had the good thing about enjoying a few of the weakest opposing quarterbacks within the league (Carolina, Chicago, Jacksonville, Houston).
We're assured Prescott and his receivers will likely be flying excessive off final week’s efficiency and maintain the momentum occurring a brief week.
Cowboys vs. Giants choose: Cowboys QB Dak Prescott to cross for over 247.5 yards @ -117 at Caesars Sportsbook
Cowboys vs. Giants odds
Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook, correct on the time of publishing, topic to alter.
Workforce | Unfold | Cash line | Whole Factors 45.5 |
Giants | (+9.5) -110 | +345 | Over -110 |
Cowboys | (-9.5) -110 | -455 | Beneath -110 |
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