The Jets’ cross protection has been one of many NFL‘s finest all yr and deserves the common respect it will get from oddsmakers. However that respect has gone too far forward of Thursday’s matchup with one of many hottest quarterbacks within the league.
Trevor Lawrence has been on a tear over his final six begins, averaging 280 passing yards with a minimum of 235 yards in all however a type of six contests. That’s par for the course for Lawrence, who ranks eleventh in passing yards per recreation (251.4) and ranks sixth over his current six-game run.
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Jets vs. Jaguars finest wager and participant prop (8:15 p.m. ET, Amazon Prime)
Trevor Lawrence over 213.5 passing yards (-110, Caesars Sportsbook)
Whereas New York’s total cross protection numbers look mighty spectacular on paper, rating fourth in passing yards allowed per recreation (193.9), that additionally elements in sack yardage. That isn’t the case with quarterback passing props, which solely takes into consideration yards by means of the air.
New York is definitely permitting 211.6 such yards per recreation, which remains to be commendable however not almost as far under Lawrence’s prop complete (218.5) for Thursday. Contemplate, too, that Lawrence has simply surpassed that mark in 10 of 14 begins and simply threw for 318 yards final week in opposition to the Cowboys, who rank third in web cross yards per recreation (191.6) — even higher than the Jets.
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Jared Goff managed 252 yards in opposition to New York’s secondary final week by spreading the wealth and avoiding famous person nook Sauce Gardner. Jacksonville’s offense is constructed to do the identical on Thursday. Even when stormy climate limits Lawrence’s explosiveness, I’d count on him to search out sufficient gaps within the quick and intermediate recreation to hit this generously low mark.
Jets vs. Jaguars decide: Trevor Lawrence over 213.5 passing yards (-110, Caesars Sportsbook)
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