Two summers in the past, the Jaguars chosen Trevor Lawrence with the highest decide within the 2021 NFL Draft – one decide earlier than Zach Wilson went off the board to the Jets. That call looms over Thursday’s contest and could possibly be the deciding think about a recreation neither crew can afford to lose.
The Jets are priced as slim residence favorites at BetMGM forward of this midweek tilt, which can be more likely to be outlined by a winter storm surging into the New York space.
Right here’s how we’re betting “Thursday Evening Soccer” contest, which kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.
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Jets vs. Jaguars odds (through BetMGM)
- Jets -1.5 (-110), moneyline -130
- Jaguars +1.5 (-110), moneyline +110
- O/U 37.5 (-110)
Jets vs. Jaguars prediction and evaluation
I’ve been a fan of each of those groups all season lengthy, as every has been constantly undervalued relative to the market’s expectations. But the cavernous gulf between these groups’ respective quarterback play is tough to disregard forward of Thursday’s assembly.
The Jaguars caught everybody’s consideration with final week’s comeback win over the Cowboys, however this crew has been sneaky good for some time now. That win marked Jacksonville’s fourth in its final six video games, and all six of its earlier losses earlier than that stretch got here by one possession.
The distinction between that run and this one? Turnovers. Lawrence stated he “flipped” a change after an unsightly loss in London that successfully ended after his second interception of the day and sixth of the season. He’s thrown only one decide in six video games since, whereas tossing 14 touchdowns and averaging 280 passing yards per recreation amid this 4-2 run.
The Jets’ vaunted move protection will definitely take a look at that, although I’d count on the Jaguars to tread cautiously towards Ahmad “Sauce” Gardner and co. because the Lions did of their 20-17 win per week in the past. Detroit prevented Gardner fully and picked aside the remainder of this protection, and Jacksonville’s versatile passing assault has the depth to succeed with an identical strategy.
On the opposite aspect, Wilson has been a catastrophe in his second season with the Jets. He was benched earlier this season, and the offense instantly soared underneath Mike White, however a number of rib fractures for this crew’s short-lived hero pressured Wilson again into an ungainly spot because the crew’s de facto starter.
It’s gone about in addition to you’d count on. After finishing 40.9% of his passes within the recreation that value him his job, Wilson transformed simply 51.4% of his makes an attempt final week in his not-so-triumphant return. Now he faces a Jaguars protection that picked off Dak Prescott twice final week and held Wilson to simply 102 passing yards in final 12 months’s Week 16 bout.
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One key issue for this recreation is the climate, which is predicted to deliver excessive winds and swirling rain to MetLife Stadium on Thursday. That ought to favor the Jaguars, whose offense ranks tenth in dashing yards per recreation (127.2) and sixth in yards per carry (4.9). The Jets’ dashing assault rank close to the underside of the league in each metrics and couldn’t even muster a carry longer than six yards in final week’s disastrous 50-yard effort.
Each of those groups are higher than their information counsel, however the Jaguars are the warmer crew with the a lot better quarterback and extra promising run recreation ought to wintry climate derail Thursday’s contest. On a brief week, these benefits are vital and make Jacksonville a simple play at plus-odds.
Jets vs. Jaguars decide
- Jaguars +1.5 (-110 BetMGM)
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